Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Madison, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for MadisonThe boundary of Madison, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (R+38.6).Madison · R+38.6
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic29.9%3,683TrumpRepublican68.5%8,428OtherAll other candidates1.5%189
R+38.6
Lead
4,745
Total
12,300
vs nation
R+37.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic38.0%5,061TrumpRepublican60.8%8,105OtherAll other candidates1.2%159
R+22.8
Lead
3,044
Total
13,325
vs nation
R+27.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.8%4,555TrumpRepublican54.9%5,989OtherAll other candidates3.3%360
R+13.2
Lead
1,434
Total
10,904
vs nation
R+15.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.0%4,005RomneyRepublican57.0%5,299OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+13.9
Lead
1,294
Total
9,304
vs nation
R+17.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.8%4,293McCainRepublican58.3%6,134OtherAll other candidates0.9%90
R+17.5
Lead
1,841
Total
10,517
vs nation
R+24.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic34.8%3,661BushRepublican64.2%6,757OtherAll other candidates1.0%101
R+29.4
Lead
3,096
Total
10,519
vs nation
R+27.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+38.6MIT Election Lab
Population
41,4652020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
42,221 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
61.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
3.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
7.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Republican margin
R+38.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Todt Hill-Emerson Hill-Lighthouse Hill-Manor Heights, NY · twin score 85.0

presidential history

Party record book

Madison, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

43.0%

4,005 votes · R+13.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 41.8%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

68.5%

8,428 votes · R+38.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 64.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

5,061votes

38.0% of the vote · R+22.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 4,555 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

8,428votes

68.5% of the vote · R+38.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,105 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

−15.2pts D vs U.S.

Place R+13.2 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −17.8 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

+37.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+38.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +27.3 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Madison, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Madison voted Republican by 38.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 9.1 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Madison: Republican by 38.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
41,465 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Republican by 38.6 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Todt Hill-Emerson Hill-Lighthouse Hill-Manor Heights
New York
85.0twin score
Similarity 0.85
New Springville-Willowbrook-Bulls Head-Travis
New York
81.5twin score
Similarity 0.82
Grasmere-Arrochar-South Beach-Dongan Hills
New York
80.2twin score
Similarity 0.80

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Madison, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/madison/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Madison, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Madison, New York voted Republican by 38.6 points (R+38.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,300 votes cast, 3,683 went Democratic and 8,428 went Republican.
How many people live in Madison, New York?
Madison, New York has a population of 41,465 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Madison, New York?
Median household income in Madison, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Madison, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Madison, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.