Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Manhattanville-West Harlem, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

20042024 · D minus R
Full record · 20042024
2024 presidential vote for Manhattanville-West HarlemThe boundary of Manhattanville-West Harlem, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+62.6).Manhattanville-West Harlem · D+62.6
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic80.5%5,173TrumpRepublican17.9%1,151OtherAll other candidates1.6%105
D+62.6
Lead
4,022
Total
6,429
vs nation
D+64.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic88.9%6,744TrumpRepublican9.7%735OtherAll other candidates1.4%103
D+79.3
Lead
6,009
Total
7,582
vs nation
D+74.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic93.0%7,233TrumpRepublican4.0%308OtherAll other candidates3.0%234
D+89.1
Lead
6,925
Total
7,775
vs nation
D+87.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic97.1%6,547RomneyRepublican2.9%195OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+94.2
Lead
6,352
Total
6,742
vs nation
D+90.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic95.6%7,308McCainRepublican3.7%282OtherAll other candidates0.7%55
D+91.9
Lead
7,026
Total
7,645
vs nation
D+84.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic94.2%6,727BushRepublican4.7%337OtherAll other candidates1.1%75
D+89.5
Lead
6,390
Total
7,139
vs nation
D+92.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+62.6MIT Election Lab
Population
22,1832020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
57,609 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.4 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
18.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
27.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
54.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+94.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Crotona Park East, NY · twin score 76.8

presidential history

Party record book

Manhattanville-West Harlem, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

97.1%

6,547 votes · D+94.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 95.6%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

17.9%

1,151 votes · D+62.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

7,308votes

95.6% of the vote · D+91.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 7,233 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,151votes

17.9% of the vote · D+62.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 735 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+92.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+89.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +90.4 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−64.0pts R vs U.S.

Place D+62.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −74.8 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Manhattanville-West Harlem, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Manhattanville-West Harlem voted Democratic by 62.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 26.9 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Manhattanville-West Harlem: Democratic by 62.6 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
22,183 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 62.6 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/manhattanville-west-harlem/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Frequently asked questions

How did Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York voted Democratic by 62.6 points (D+62.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,429 votes cast, 5,173 went Democratic and 1,151 went Republican.
How many people live in Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York?
Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York has a population of 22,183 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York?
Median household income in Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Manhattanville-West Harlem, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.