- Lead
- 2,691
- Total
- 3,512
- vs nation
- R+75.2
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Weston County, WY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 5,370 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,747
- Total
- 3,542
- vs nation
- R+82.0
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 2,734
- Total
- 3,526
- vs nation
- R+79.6
- Turnout
- 64.3%
- Lead
- 2,399
- Total
- 3,359
- vs nation
- R+75.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,960
- Total
- 3,393
- vs nation
- R+65.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,159
- Total
- 3,392
- vs nation
- R+61.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,072
- Total
- 3,060
- vs nation
- R+68.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 892
- Total
- 3,174
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+76.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,8262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,5092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Crook County, WY · twin score 92.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.8%3,533 participants ÷ 5,370 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.5%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,578 | 5,565 | 64.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,737 | 5,462 | 50.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,560 | 5,498 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,845 | 5,425 | 52.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,533 | 5,370 | 65.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 3,512 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1-1 Newcastle Outside1-1 Newcastle Outside | 67 | 628 | 10 | 705 | 9.5% | 89.1% | R+79.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -1-2 Newcastle Outside1-2 Newcastle Outside | 64 | 446 | 7 | 517 | 12.4% | 86.3% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -4-1 Upton Inside4-1 Upton Inside | 39 | 452 | 5 | 496 | 7.9% | 91.1% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -5-3 Newcastle Inside5-3 Newcastle Inside | 63 | 408 | 8 | 479 | 13.2% | 85.2% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -5-1 Newcastle Inside5-1 Newcastle Inside | 63 | 366 | 17 | 446 | 14.1% | 82.1% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -5-2 Newcastle Inside5-2 Newcastle Inside | 58 | 353 | 16 | 427 | 13.6% | 82.7% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -3-1 Upton Outside3-1 Upton Outside | 16 | 260 | 2 | 278 | 5.8% | 93.5% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -2-1 Osage Area2-1 Osage Area | 8 | 156 | 0 | 164 | 4.9% | 95.1% | R+90.2 |
| NEWCASTLE EAST Voting District56_560450501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE EAST Voting District56_560450501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE NORTH Voting District56_560450502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE NORTH Voting District56_560450502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE RURAL OUTSIDE Voting District56_560450101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE RURAL OUTSIDE Voting District56_560450101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE SOUTH Voting District56_560450503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWCASTLE SOUTH Voting District56_560450503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Voting District1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Voting District1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSAGE Voting District56_560450201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSAGE Voting District56_560450201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPTON INSIDE Voting District56_560450401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPTON INSIDE Voting District56_560450401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPTON OUTSIDE Voting District56_560450301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UPTON OUTSIDE Voting District56_560450301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −57.2% |
| 1896 | −17.0% |
| 1900 | −23.7% |
| 1904 | −56.5% |
| 1908 | −19.8% |
| 1912 | +0.8% |
| 1916 | −3.6% |
| 1920 | −39.0% |
| 1924 | −27.2% |
| 1928 | −23.9% |
| 1932 | +26.4% |
| 1936 | +4.7% |
| 1940 | −13.4% |
| 1944 | −18.5% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −39.4% |
| 1956 | −28.1% |
| 1960 | −18.4% |
| 1964 | −1.9% |
| 1968 | −37.4% |
| 1972 | −58.7% |
| 1976 | −30.8% |
| 1980 | −55.1% |
| 1984 | −68.2% |
| 1988 | −47.3% |
| 1992 | −24.4% |
| 1996 | −28.1% |
| 2000 | −67.7% |
| 2004 | −63.6% |
| 2008 | −57.8% |
| 2012 | −71.4% |
| 2016 | −77.5% |
| 2020 | −77.6% |
| 2024 | −76.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 9.6%309 | 90.4%2,908 | 3,217 |
| 2020 | R | 12.7%402 | 87.3%2,760 | 3,162 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Republican.
3,524 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−7 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −257 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,962 in average income, against $78,905 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+76.3 on average — about the same lean as Weston County, WY (R+76.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Campbell County, WY22R+76.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Campbell County, WY34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −62 |
| 2012 | −79 |
| 2013 | +35 |
| 2014 | 0 |
| 2015 | +24 |
| 2016 | −9 |
| 2017 | −275 |
| 2018 | −65 |
| 2019 | 0 |
| 2021 | −22 |
| 2022 | +155 |
| 2023 | −17 |
| 2024 | +65 |
| 2025 | −7 |
With fewer than 7,000 residents spread across rolling high-plains terrain near the South Dakota border, Weston County delivered an R+76.6 margin in 2024—among the widest in a state already defined by overwhelming Republican preference.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.6 points.
A population of 6,826, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,509 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crook County and Powder River County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Weston County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.