- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 3,062
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- 80.9%
Wahkiakum County, WA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.9% of 3,816 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 576
- Total
- 2,981
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Turnout
- 87.2%
- Lead
- 512
- Total
- 2,429
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- 73.7%
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 2,313
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16
- Total
- 2,294
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 150
- Total
- 2,235
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 230
- Total
- 1,973
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 305
- Total
- 1,836
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,6532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pacific County, WA · twin score 84.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.9%3,089 participants ÷ 3,816 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.9%–73.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,471 | 3,352 | 73.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,496 | 3,427 | 72.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,019 | 3,461 | 87.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,600 | 3,602 | 72.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,089 | 3,816 | 80.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 3,062 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -05 - ELOCHOMAN05 - ELOCHOMAN | 155 | 320 | 22 | 497 | 31.2% | 64.4% | R+33.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -09 - WEST PUGET ISLAND09 - WEST PUGET ISLAND | 203 | 219 | 14 | 436 | 46.6% | 50.2% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -07 - COLUMBIA07 - COLUMBIA | 166 | 208 | 13 | 387 | 42.9% | 53.7% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -04 - SKAMOKAWA04 - SKAMOKAWA | 92 | 161 | 8 | 261 | 35.2% | 61.7% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -10 - SOUTH CATHLAMET10 - SOUTH CATHLAMET | 123 | 127 | 8 | 258 | 47.7% | 49.2% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -06 - ROSEDALE06 - ROSEDALE | 81 | 162 | 11 | 254 | 31.9% | 63.8% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -08 - EAST PUGET ISLAND08 - EAST PUGET ISLAND | 119 | 123 | 7 | 249 | 47.8% | 49.4% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -03 - ROSBURG / ALTOONA03 - ROSBURG / ALTOONA | 89 | 136 | 9 | 234 | 38.0% | 58.1% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct -01 - DEEP RIVER01 - DEEP RIVER | 52 | 143 | 3 | 198 | 26.3% | 72.2% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -02 - GRAYS RIVER02 - GRAYS RIVER | 59 | 109 | 1 | 169 | 34.9% | 64.5% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -11 - NORTH CATHLAMET11 - NORTH CATHLAMET | 65 | 49 | 5 | 119 | 54.6% | 41.2% | D+13.4 |
| Columbia Voting District53_5306969007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deep River Voting District53_5306969001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Puget Island Voting District53_5306969008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elochoman Voting District53_5306969005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grays River Voting District53_5306969002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Cathlamet Voting District53_5306969011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosburg/Altoona Voting District53_5306969003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rosedale Voting District53_5306969006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skamokawa Voting District53_5306969004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Cathlamet Voting District53_5306969010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Puget Island Voting District53_5306969009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.7% |
| 1896 | +15.4% |
| 1900 | −29.5% |
| 1904 | −57.3% |
| 1908 | −48.9% |
| 1912 | −11.0% |
| 1916 | −15.9% |
| 1920 | −38.5% |
| 1924 | −49.6% |
| 1928 | −20.1% |
| 1932 | +21.1% |
| 1936 | +42.9% |
| 1940 | +28.6% |
| 1944 | +30.5% |
| 1948 | +16.0% |
| 1952 | +6.4% |
| 1956 | +8.2% |
| 1960 | +7.4% |
| 1964 | +44.9% |
| 1968 | +15.4% |
| 1972 | −1.3% |
| 1976 | +13.9% |
| 1980 | −4.3% |
| 1984 | +8.9% |
| 1988 | +20.4% |
| 1992 | +11.6% |
| 1996 | +16.6% |
| 2000 | −11.7% |
| 2004 | −6.7% |
| 2008 | +0.7% |
| 2012 | −1.1% |
| 2016 | −21.1% |
| 2020 | −19.3% |
| 2024 | −18.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983Special · Class I | D | 56.3%Mike Lowry690 | 43.7%Daniel J. Evans535 | 1,225 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,272 |
| 2018 | 3,411 |
| 2020 | 3,817 |
| 2022 | 3,810 |
| 2024 | 3,870 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+85 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,364 in average income, against $77,797 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.8 on average — 1.8 points more Republican-leaning than Wahkiakum County, WA itself (R+18.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cowlitz County, WA34R+19.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cowlitz County, WA31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +23 |
| 2012 | +27 |
| 2013 | +39 |
| 2014 | +16 |
| 2015 | +3 |
| 2016 | +164 |
| 2017 | +105 |
| 2018 | +158 |
| 2019 | +83 |
| 2021 | +182 |
| 2022 | +134 |
| 2023 | +114 |
| 2024 | +78 |
| 2025 | +85 |
Perched along the Columbia River estuary, Wahkiakum County's roughly 3,800 residents have shifted from competitive margins in the early 2000s to an R+18 result in 2024, reflecting a broader rural realignment across the Pacific Northwest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.1 points.
A population of 4,658, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,653 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pacific County and Skamania County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wahkiakum County, Washington. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/53069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.