- Lead
- 185
- Total
- 14,244
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- 72.6%
Pacific County, WA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.6% of 19,734 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 159
- Total
- 14,064
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- 79.2%
- Lead
- 740
- Total
- 10,972
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- 67.8%
- Lead
- 1,212
- Total
- 10,636
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,539
- Total
- 10,937
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 936
- Total
- 10,431
- vs nation
- D+11.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 853
- Total
- 9,519
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,497
- Total
- 9,111
- vs nation
- D+18.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,9942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,0812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lincoln County, OR · twin score 91.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.6%14,329 participants ÷ 19,734 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.0%–63.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,170 | 16,472 | 67.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,105 | 16,852 | 65.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,179 | 17,913 | 79.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,068 | 19,000 | 63.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,329 | 19,734 | 72.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
76 precincts · 13,954 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OYSTERVILLEOYSTERVILLE | 600 | 392 | 15 | 1,007 | 59.6% | 38.9% | D+20.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OCEAN PARK 2OCEAN PARK 2 | 499 | 409 | 24 | 932 | 53.5% | 43.9% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -NAHCOTTANAHCOTTA | 440 | 414 | 22 | 876 | 50.2% | 47.3% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -NASELLENASELLE | 270 | 512 | 20 | 802 | 33.7% | 63.8% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -KLIPSANKLIPSAN | 373 | 342 | 15 | 730 | 51.1% | 46.8% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -WILLAPAWILLAPA | 226 | 382 | 23 | 631 | 35.8% | 60.5% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -SEAVIEW 1SEAVIEW 1 | 358 | 230 | 18 | 606 | 59.1% | 38.0% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct -MENLO-FIRDALEMENLO-FIRDALE | 183 | 403 | 13 | 599 | 30.6% | 67.3% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -ILWACO CITYILWACO CITY | 340 | 236 | 19 | 595 | 57.1% | 39.7% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -MOREHEADMOREHEAD | 285 | 287 | 8 | 580 | 49.1% | 49.5% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -LONG BEACHLONG BEACH | 336 | 221 | 15 | 572 | 58.7% | 38.6% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -NORTH COVENORTH COVE | 242 | 286 | 23 | 551 | 43.9% | 51.9% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -PIONEERPIONEER | 222 | 244 | 26 | 492 | 45.1% | 49.6% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -OCEAN PARK 1OCEAN PARK 1 | 264 | 207 | 6 | 477 | 55.3% | 43.4% | D+11.9 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W3RAYMOND W3 | 184 | 216 | 15 | 415 | 44.3% | 52.0% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -CHINOOKCHINOOK | 178 | 208 | 7 | 393 | 45.3% | 52.9% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -BOLSTADBOLSTAD | 212 | 146 | 13 | 371 | 57.1% | 39.4% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 1SOUTH BEND 1 | 197 | 128 | 13 | 338 | 58.3% | 37.9% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W2RAYMOND W2 | 162 | 150 | 13 | 325 | 49.8% | 46.2% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -BAY CENTERBAY CENTER | 147 | 145 | 10 | 302 | 48.7% | 48.0% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -PIONEER 2PIONEER 2 | 134 | 139 | 8 | 281 | 47.7% | 49.5% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W1P2RAYMOND W1P2 | 98 | 131 | 8 | 237 | 41.4% | 55.3% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W1P3RAYMOND W1P3 | 115 | 95 | 9 | 219 | 52.5% | 43.4% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 3SOUTH BEND 3 | 82 | 117 | 5 | 204 | 40.2% | 57.4% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -SOUTH FORKSOUTH FORK | 73 | 85 | 4 | 162 | 45.1% | 52.5% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 2SOUTH BEND 2 | 91 | 64 | 5 | 160 | 56.9% | 40.0% | D+16.9 |
| Precinct -BALEVILLEBALEVILLE | 58 | 86 | 4 | 148 | 39.2% | 58.1% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -SMITH CREEKSMITH CREEK | 49 | 82 | 2 | 133 | 36.8% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -EKLUND PARKEKLUND PARK | 56 | 62 | 6 | 124 | 45.2% | 50.0% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -ILWACO 2 RURALILWACO 2 RURAL | 64 | 49 | 6 | 119 | 53.8% | 41.2% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 1RSOUTH BEND 1R | 22 | 70 | 4 | 96 | 22.9% | 72.9% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W3 RRAYMOND W3 R | 39 | 51 | 2 | 92 | 42.4% | 55.4% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W2 RRAYMOND W2 R | 26 | 55 | 6 | 87 | 29.9% | 63.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -SEAVIEW 2SEAVIEW 2 | 28 | 43 | 4 | 75 | 37.3% | 57.3% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -NEMAHNEMAH | 20 | 40 | 4 | 64 | 31.3% | 62.5% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -NORTH RIVERNORTH RIVER | 28 | 28 | 2 | 58 | 48.3% | 48.3% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 4SOUTH BEND 4 | 23 | 28 | 0 | 51 | 45.1% | 54.9% | R+9.8 |
| Precinct -RAYMOND W1P1RAYMOND W1P1 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 35 | 51.4% | 45.7% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BEND 3RSOUTH BEND 3R | 8 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 53.3% | 26.7% | D+26.7 |
| Baleville Voting District53_5304949001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bay Center Voting District53_5304949002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chinook Voting District53_5304949003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eklund Park Voting District53_5304949004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frances-Lebam Voting District53_5304949006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ilwaco 1 Rural Voting District53_5304949007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ilwaco 2 Rural Voting District53_5304949008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ilwaco City Voting District53_5304949101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Klipsan Voting District53_5304949009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Long Beach City Voting District53_5304949103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Menlo-Firdale Voting District53_5304949011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nahcotta Voting District53_5304949012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Naselle Voting District53_5304949013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nemah Voting District53_5304949015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Cove Voting District53_5304949016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North River Voting District53_5304949018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Park 1 Voting District53_5304949019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ocean Park 2 Voting District53_5304949020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oysterville Voting District53_5304949021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pioneer Voting District53_5304949022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 1 Precinct 153_5304949105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 1 Precinct 253_5304949106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 1 Precinct 353_5304949107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 253_5304949108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 2 Rural53_5304949023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 353_5304949110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Ward 3 Rural53_5304949024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seaview 1 Voting District53_5304949025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seaview 2 Voting District53_5304949026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Smith Creek Voting District53_5304949027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend 1 Rural Voting District53_5304949028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend 2 Rural Voting District53_5304949030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend Ward 153_5304949113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend Ward 253_5304949115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Bend Ward 353_5304949117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Fork Voting District53_5304949032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willapa Voting District53_5304949034 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −13.9% |
| 1896 | −24.0% |
| 1900 | −37.2% |
| 1904 | −62.3% |
| 1908 | −46.9% |
| 1912 | −9.9% |
| 1916 | −25.5% |
| 1920 | −43.6% |
| 1924 | −52.5% |
| 1928 | −35.8% |
| 1932 | +24.4% |
| 1936 | +41.3% |
| 1940 | +23.6% |
| 1944 | +21.5% |
| 1948 | +16.3% |
| 1952 | −0.9% |
| 1956 | +0.3% |
| 1960 | +8.6% |
| 1964 | +47.6% |
| 1968 | +18.9% |
| 1972 | +3.3% |
| 1976 | +20.4% |
| 1980 | +7.4% |
| 1984 | +12.7% |
| 1988 | +23.7% |
| 1992 | +25.3% |
| 1996 | +27.4% |
| 2000 | +9.0% |
| 2004 | +9.0% |
| 2008 | +14.1% |
| 2012 | +11.4% |
| 2016 | −6.7% |
| 2020 | −1.1% |
| 2024 | −1.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983Special · Class I | D | 57.2%Mike Lowry3,481 | 42.8%Daniel J. Evans2,601 | 6,082 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,388 |
| 2018 | 16,623 |
| 2020 | 18,004 |
| 2022 | 18,566 |
| 2024 | 19,514 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+267 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,247 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $74,608 in average income, against $70,746 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+16.3 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Pacific County, WA itself (R+1.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clatsop County, OR71D+11.2
- Clark County, WA67D+6.9
- King County, WA53D+51.3
- Multnomah County, OR48D+61.6
- Grays Harbor County, WA43R+6.0
- Cowlitz County, WA29R+19.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grays Harbor County, WA50
- Clark County, WA47
- Clatsop County, OR46
- Thurston County, WA37
- King County, WA33
- Cowlitz County, WA31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +117 |
| 2012 | −240 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | +238 |
| 2015 | +404 |
| 2016 | +455 |
| 2017 | +527 |
| 2018 | +478 |
| 2019 | +523 |
| 2021 | +726 |
| 2022 | +280 |
| 2023 | +291 |
| 2024 | +205 |
| 2025 | +267 |
Pacific County sits along Washington's southwest coast where natural-resource industries shape a working-class electorate that has swung between parties by single digits in recent cycles, landing at R+1.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.3 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 23,994, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,081 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Clatsop County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pacific County, Washington. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/53049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.