HarrisDemocratic23.0%528TrumpRepublican74.7%1,717KennedyIndependent1.7%40
R+51.7- Lead
- 1,189
- Total
- 2,298
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Akashiccounty
Deuel County, SD
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 3,248 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.9%609TrumpRepublican72.3%1,699JorgensenLibertarian1.8%42
R+46.4- Lead
- 1,090
- Total
- 2,350
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 73.7%
ClintonDemocratic27.4%570TrumpRepublican65.7%1,366JohnsonLibertarian5.6%117
R+38.3- Lead
- 796
- Total
- 2,080
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 64.6%
ObamaDemocratic43.3%941RomneyRepublican54.1%1,175OtherAll other candidates2.5%55
R+10.8- Lead
- 234
- Total
- 2,171
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic47.5%1,054McCainRepublican49.1%1,088OtherAll other candidates3.4%76
R+1.5- Lead
- 34
- Total
- 2,218
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.8%961BushRepublican58.3%1,406OtherAll other candidates1.9%45
R+18.4- Lead
- 445
- Total
- 2,412
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.6%926BushRepublican56.0%1,245OtherAll other candidates2.4%53
R+14.3- Lead
- 319
- Total
- 2,224
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.4%1,090DoleRepublican40.7%955PerotReform11.7%275
D+5.7- Lead
- 135
- Total
- 2,349
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,3282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,1122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kingsbury County, SD · twin score 90.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.7%2,329 participants ÷ 3,248 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.1 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.6%–65.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,138 | 3,308 | 64.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,012 | 3,263 | 61.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,387 | 3,240 | 73.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,078 | 3,220 | 64.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,329 | 3,248 | 71.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 2,298 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0303 | 61 | 250 | 7 | 318 | 19.2% | 78.6% | R+59.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0909 | 52 | 255 | 7 | 314 | 16.6% | 81.2% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -0808 | 69 | 228 | 7 | 304 | 22.7% | 75.0% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -1111 | 57 | 156 | 5 | 218 | 26.1% | 71.6% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -0505 | 72 | 138 | 7 | 217 | 33.2% | 63.6% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -0707 | 45 | 162 | 5 | 212 | 21.2% | 76.4% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -1010 | 44 | 143 | 6 | 193 | 22.8% | 74.1% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -0606 | 50 | 129 | 3 | 182 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -0404 | 40 | 127 | 4 | 171 | 23.4% | 74.3% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -0101 | 38 | 129 | 2 | 169 | 22.5% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| VTD precinct 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 1010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 1111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD-precinct 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −31.3% |
| 1896 | −2.2% |
| 1900 | −26.7% |
| 1904 | −63.7% |
| 1908 | −37.8% |
| 1912 | +31.2% |
| 1916 | −21.2% |
| 1920 | −62.9% |
| 1924 | −52.9% |
| 1928 | −30.0% |
| 1932 | +18.7% |
| 1936 | −4.9% |
| 1940 | −32.8% |
| 1944 | −23.6% |
| 1948 | −1.2% |
| 1952 | −44.3% |
| 1956 | −10.9% |
| 1960 | −23.8% |
| 1964 | +7.3% |
| 1968 | −12.3% |
| 1972 | +0.5% |
| 1976 | +10.9% |
| 1980 | −27.9% |
| 1984 | −23.9% |
| 1988 | −0.2% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +5.7% |
| 2000 | −14.3% |
| 2004 | −18.4% |
| 2008 | −1.5% |
| 2012 | −10.8% |
| 2016 | −38.3% |
| 2020 | −46.4% |
| 2024 | −51.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.1%495 | 81.9%2,243 | 2,738 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%2,005 | 2,005 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+42.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+51.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.5 points more Democratic.
3,168 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −145 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,938 in average income, against $83,303 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.8 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Deuel County, SD itself (R+51.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Codington County, SD25R+40.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Codington County, SD25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −13 |
| 2012 | +8 |
| 2013 | −84 |
| 2014 | −5 |
| 2015 | +3 |
| 2016 | −84 |
| 2017 | +24 |
| 2018 | +25 |
| 2019 | −15 |
| 2021 | −18 |
| 2022 | +59 |
| 2023 | −18 |
| 2024 | −32 |
| 2025 | +5 |
Deuel County sits along the Minnesota border in South Dakota's glaciated lake country, where a sparse, agriculture-dependent population has delivered some of the state's most lopsided presidential margins across recent election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.7 points.
A population of 4,328, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,112 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsbury County and Grant County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kingsbury County
South Dakota
90.3twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ % Evangelical
Grant County
South Dakota
89.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ Norwegian ancestry
Hancock County
Iowa
89.0twin score
12-yr trendelasticityGerman ancestry≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Deuel County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Deuel County, South Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Deuel County, South Dakota voted Republican by 51.7 points (R+51.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,298 votes cast, 528 went Democratic and 1,717 went Republican.
When did Deuel County, South Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deuel County, South Dakota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Deuel County, South Dakota?
Deuel County, South Dakota has a population of 4,328 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deuel County, South Dakota?
Median household income in Deuel County, South Dakota is $83,112 — above the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of Deuel County, South Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deuel County, South Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.