- Lead
- 19,634
- Total
- 53,395
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Turnout
- 57.3%
Rapides Parish, LA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.3% of 93,871 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 18,872
- Total
- 58,865
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Turnout
- 61.7%
- Lead
- 18,494
- Total
- 56,844
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- 59.2%
- Lead
- 17,148
- Total
- 58,019
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,484
- Total
- 57,521
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15,588
- Total
- 54,069
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,933
- Total
- 49,024
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,456
- Total
- 49,931
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 127,5272024 5-year
- Population density
- 96 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,324 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,9672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 30.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ouachita Parish, LA · twin score 86.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.3%53,834 participants ÷ 93,871 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.8%–43.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 57,458 | 97,016 | 59.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 42,702 | 96,723 | 44.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 59,562 | 96,527 | 61.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 45,664 | 95,728 | 47.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 53,834 | 93,871 | 57.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Rapides Parish, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
93.6%
2,600 votes · D+88.4
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 93.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
69.7%
22,306 votes · R+43.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 67.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
23,004votes
46.1% of the vote · D+2.9
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 20,873 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
38,347votes
65.1% of the vote · R+32.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 37,193 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+98.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+72.3 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +95.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+51.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +36.5 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 30.7%12,087 | 69.3%27,235 | 39,322 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 32 points more Republican than the rolls.
82,392 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−200 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −9,930 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,073 in average income, against $71,281 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.5 on average — 3.7 points more Republican-leaning than Rapides Parish, LA itself (R+36.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grant Parish, LA296R+76.8
- Avoyelles Parish, LA180R+43.1
- Harris County, TX97D+5.5
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA68D+11.1
- Natchitoches Parish, LA67R+22.3
- Vernon Parish, LA62R+67.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grant Parish, LA248
- Avoyelles Parish, LA175
- Lafayette Parish, LA147
- Harris County, TX111
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA104
- Natchitoches Parish, LA67
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −354 |
| 2012 | −473 |
| 2013 | −82 |
| 2014 | −695 |
| 2015 | −849 |
| 2016 | −452 |
| 2017 | −926 |
| 2018 | −1,054 |
| 2019 | −900 |
| 2021 | −724 |
| 2022 | −1,414 |
| 2023 | −834 |
| 2024 | −973 |
| 2025 | −200 |
Rapides Parish, home to Alexandria and the sprawling Fort Johnson installation, has shifted toward lopsided Republican margins over the past decade even as its economy remains tied to federal defense spending and a large regional hospital corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 43.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.8 points.
A population of 127,527, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,967 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ouachita Parish and Bowie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rapides Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.