- Lead
- 6,918
- Total
- 19,478
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- 78.4%
Delta County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.4% of 25,197 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,194
- Total
- 19,370
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- 81.8%
- Lead
- 7,568
- Total
- 16,790
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- 74.8%
- Lead
- 6,293
- Total
- 15,925
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,983
- Total
- 15,434
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,498
- Total
- 14,159
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,108
- Total
- 12,686
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,463
- Total
- 11,100
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,5982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,7742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montrose County, CO · twin score 87.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.4%19,744 participants ÷ 25,197 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 64.0%–66.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,341 | 23,181 | 74.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,481 | 23,407 | 66.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,685 | 24,071 | 81.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,535 | 24,524 | 67.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,744 | 25,197 | 78.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 19,478 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -30558150153055815015 | 402 | 887 | 33 | 1,322 | 30.4% | 67.1% | R+36.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -30554150013055415001 | 206 | 964 | 19 | 1,189 | 17.3% | 81.1% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -30554150083055415008 | 224 | 934 | 23 | 1,181 | 19.0% | 79.1% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -30554150093055415009 | 275 | 841 | 31 | 1,147 | 24.0% | 73.3% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -30754150143075415014 | 362 | 745 | 17 | 1,124 | 32.2% | 66.3% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -30558150183055815018 | 535 | 495 | 43 | 1,073 | 49.9% | 46.1% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -30554150063055415006 | 271 | 763 | 17 | 1,051 | 25.8% | 72.6% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -30558150163055815016 | 347 | 648 | 32 | 1,027 | 33.8% | 63.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -30558150203055815020 | 535 | 444 | 45 | 1,024 | 52.2% | 43.4% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct -30754150113075415011 | 366 | 626 | 23 | 1,015 | 36.1% | 61.7% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -30554150043055415004 | 286 | 698 | 27 | 1,011 | 28.3% | 69.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -30554150103055415010 | 218 | 772 | 18 | 1,008 | 21.6% | 76.6% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -30554150073055415007 | 231 | 745 | 17 | 993 | 23.3% | 75.0% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -30754150133075415013 | 249 | 685 | 24 | 958 | 26.0% | 71.5% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -30558150173055815017 | 282 | 617 | 32 | 931 | 30.3% | 66.3% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -30754150123075415012 | 214 | 522 | 23 | 759 | 28.2% | 68.8% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -30558150193055815019 | 462 | 225 | 46 | 733 | 63.0% | 30.7% | D+32.3 |
| Precinct -30554150023055415002 | 160 | 496 | 13 | 669 | 23.9% | 74.1% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -30554150033055415003 | 200 | 442 | 5 | 647 | 30.9% | 68.3% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -30554150053055415005 | 205 | 399 | 12 | 616 | 33.3% | 64.8% | R+31.5 |
| Delta 108_0802915001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1008_0802915010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1108_0802915011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1208_0802915012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1308_0802915013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1408_0802915014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1508_0802915015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1608_0802915016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1708_0802915017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1808_0802915018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 1908_0802915019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 208_0802915002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 2008_0802915020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 308_0802915003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 408_0802915004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 508_0802915005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 608_0802915006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 708_0802915007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 808_0802915008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delta 908_0802915009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −13.6% |
| 1888 | −3.1% |
| 1892 | −33.1% |
| 1896 | +82.1% |
| 1900 | +23.0% |
| 1904 | −16.8% |
| 1908 | +3.9% |
| 1912 | +20.4% |
| 1916 | +25.2% |
| 1920 | −18.4% |
| 1924 | −27.8% |
| 1928 | −37.2% |
| 1932 | +17.8% |
| 1936 | +8.8% |
| 1940 | −15.5% |
| 1944 | −19.0% |
| 1948 | +0.2% |
| 1952 | −34.9% |
| 1956 | −29.6% |
| 1960 | −26.6% |
| 1964 | +15.3% |
| 1968 | −20.5% |
| 1972 | −41.4% |
| 1976 | −20.6% |
| 1980 | −41.5% |
| 1984 | −39.9% |
| 1988 | −21.1% |
| 1992 | −8.9% |
| 1996 | −22.2% |
| 2000 | −40.3% |
| 2004 | −38.8% |
| 2008 | −32.3% |
| 2012 | −39.5% |
| 2016 | −45.1% |
| 2020 | −37.1% |
| 2024 | −35.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.7 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22,414 | 4,069 | 10,480 | 7,486 | 379 |
| 2018 | 22,628 | 3,864 | 10,206 | 8,146 | 412 |
| 2020 | 24,121 | 3,823 | 10,607 | 9,223 | 468 |
| 2022 | 25,228 | 3,387 | 10,443 | 10,911 | 487 |
| 2024 | 26,589 | 3,216 | 10,605 | 12,187 | 581 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,757 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,165 in average income, against $62,857 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.9 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Delta County, CO itself (R+35.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montrose County, CO165R+32.6
- Mesa County, CO151R+24.3
- Jefferson County, CO34D+19.5
- Garfield County, CO28D+2.1
- Larimer County, CO27D+17.6
- Gunnison County, CO26D+29.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montrose County, CO165
- Mesa County, CO137
- Denver County, CO23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −478 |
| 2012 | +49 |
| 2013 | −130 |
| 2014 | −312 |
| 2015 | +66 |
| 2016 | +512 |
| 2017 | +283 |
| 2018 | +507 |
| 2019 | +385 |
| 2021 | +542 |
| 2022 | +376 |
| 2023 | +370 |
| 2024 | +588 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Delta County sits in Colorado's fruit-growing Grand Valley region, where an economy built on agriculture, coal, and outdoor recreation anchors a voter base that has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in every cycle since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.1 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 45.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 31,598, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,774 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montrose County and Modoc County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Delta County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.