Seminole, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −69.4% |
| 2008 | −68.4% |
| 2012 | −75.9% |
| 2016 | −73.1% |
| 2020 | −80.8% |
| 2024 | −82.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8.5%Harris170 | 91.3%Trump1,819 | 0.2% | R+82.7 | R+2.0 | R+81.3 | 1,993 | |
| R | 9.3%Biden180 | 90.1%Trump1,744 | 0.6% | R+80.8 | R+7.7 | R+85.2 | 1,936 | |
| R | 12.6%Clinton183 | 85.7%Trump1,249 | 1.8% | R+73.1 | D+2.7 | R+75.2 | 1,458 | |
| R | 11.5%Obama147 | 87.3%Romney1,118 | 1.2% | R+75.9 | R+7.5 | R+79.7 | 1,280 | |
| R | 14.8%Obama189 | 83.2%McCain1,061 | 2.0% | R+68.4 | D+1.0 | R+75.7 | 1,275 | |
| R | 15.0%Kerry191 | 84.4%Bush1,073 | 0.6% | R+69.4 | — | R+66.9 | 1,271 |
Seminole anchors one of Texas's most reliably Republican counties, where energy extraction shapes both the local economy and the electorate — Gaines County has backed GOP presidential nominees by margins exceeding 80 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 82.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 82.7 points.
A population of 7,184, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,390 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dalhart and Ingleside.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Seminole, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4866764/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.