Rosenberg, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −20.7% |
| 2008 | −6.0% |
| 2012 | −9.6% |
| 2016 | +3.8% |
| 2020 | +4.4% |
| 2024 | −1.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 48.4%Harris5,767 | 49.9%Trump5,944 | 1.7% | R+1.5 | R+5.9 | ±0.0 | 11,919 | |
| D | 51.6%Biden6,125 | 47.2%Trump5,601 | 1.1% | D+4.4 | D+0.6 | ±0.0 | 11,859 | |
| D | 50.1%Clinton4,248 | 46.3%Trump3,924 | 3.6% | D+3.8 | D+13.4 | D+1.7 | 8,480 | |
| R | 44.7%Obama3,385 | 54.3%Romney4,114 | 1.0% | R+9.6 | R+3.6 | R+13.5 | 7,576 | |
| R | 46.3%Obama3,601 | 52.3%McCain4,070 | 1.4% | R+6.0 | D+14.7 | R+13.3 | 7,776 | |
| R | 39.6%Kerry2,833 | 60.4%Bush4,314 | 0.0% | R+20.7 | — | R+18.3 | 7,147 |
Rosenberg sits at the urban edge of the Houston metro, where rapid population growth — driven largely by Latino families — has shifted Fort Bend County from reliably red to one of Texas's most watched swing jurisdictions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 20.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.5 points.
A population of 40,646, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,668 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond and La Habra.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Rosenberg, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4863284/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.