Midland, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −61.9% |
| 2008 | −54.7% |
| 2012 | −59.0% |
| 2016 | −52.4% |
| 2020 | −52.7% |
| 2024 | −56.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 21.2%Harris9,888 | 77.5%Trump36,156 | 1.3% | R+56.3 | R+3.6 | R+54.9 | 46,630 | |
| R | 22.9%Biden10,807 | 75.7%Trump35,633 | 1.4% | R+52.7 | R+0.3 | R+57.2 | 47,101 | |
| R | 21.7%Clinton8,580 | 74.1%Trump29,309 | 4.2% | R+52.4 | D+6.5 | R+54.5 | 39,538 | |
| R | 19.7%Obama7,246 | 78.7%Romney28,923 | 1.6% | R+59.0 | R+4.2 | R+62.8 | 36,763 | |
| R | 22.3%Obama8,673 | 77.0%McCain29,992 | 0.8% | R+54.7 | D+7.2 | R+62.0 | 38,962 | |
| R | 18.8%Kerry7,103 | 80.6%Bush30,534 | 0.6% | R+61.9 | — | R+59.4 | 37,862 |
Midland's voting patterns track closely with the fortunes of the oil and gas industry, and its majority-Hispanic population skews younger than the state median, making demographic shifts here a reliable leading indicator for West Texas as a whole.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 61.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.3 points.
A population of 136,640, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,585 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Amarillo and San Angelo.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Midland, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4848072/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.