Mesquite, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −19.8% |
| 2008 | +0.2% |
| 2012 | +2.3% |
| 2016 | +11.2% |
| 2020 | +21.9% |
| 2024 | +15.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 57.0%Harris24,374 | 41.5%Trump17,766 | 1.5% | D+15.4 | R+6.5 | D+16.9 | 42,772 | |
| D | 60.5%Biden28,259 | 38.6%Trump18,026 | 0.9% | D+21.9 | D+10.7 | D+17.5 | 46,704 | |
| D | 53.8%Clinton22,382 | 42.7%Trump17,730 | 3.5% | D+11.2 | D+8.9 | D+9.1 | 41,570 | |
| D | 50.4%Obama19,908 | 48.1%Romney19,007 | 1.4% | D+2.3 | D+2.1 | R+1.6 | 39,482 | |
| D | 49.9%Obama20,951 | 49.7%McCain20,867 | 0.4% | D+0.2 | D+20.0 | R+7.1 | 41,977 | |
| R | 39.7%Kerry16,003 | 59.5%Bush23,997 | 0.8% | R+19.8 | — | R+17.4 | 40,328 |
Mesquite sits just east of Dallas in a belt of maturing suburbs where rapid demographic diversification has compressed once-wide partisan margins, making it a reliable bellwether for tracking shifts across the broader DFW exurban ring.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 19.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.4 points.
A population of 149,299, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,537 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Prairie and Garland.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mesquite, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4847892/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.