Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic25.6%571TrumpRepublican72.6%1,616OtherAll other candidates1.8%40
R+46.9
Lead
1,045
Total
2,227
vs nation
R+45.5
BidenDemocratic28.4%632TrumpRepublican69.8%1,554OtherAll other candidates1.8%40
R+41.4
Lead
922
Total
2,226
vs nation
R+45.9
ClintonDemocratic23.6%434TrumpRepublican73.0%1,345OtherAll other candidates3.4%63
R+49.5
Lead
911
Total
1,842
vs nation
R+51.5
ObamaDemocratic27.1%463RomneyRepublican72.1%1,234OtherAll other candidates0.8%14
R+45.1
Lead
771
Total
1,711
vs nation
R+48.9
ObamaDemocratic28.3%472McCainRepublican70.5%1,175OtherAll other candidates1.2%20
R+42.2
Lead
703
Total
1,667
vs nation
R+49.4
KerryDemocratic28.5%433BushRepublican71.2%1,082OtherAll other candidates0.3%5
R+42.7
Lead
649
Total
1,520
vs nation
R+40.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+46.9MIT Election Lab
Population
3,9362024 5-year
Population density
1,574 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$136,1252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.9%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+49.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2018–20244 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
79.1%2,269 participants ÷ 2,870 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+36.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+24.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
42.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
74.2%
59.9%
2018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,269
2,870 ± 241
79.1%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,747
2,916 ± 270
59.9%
Audited
E/A
2,259
2,350 ± 210
96.1%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,573
2,120 ± 211
74.2%
Audited
E/A
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
presidential history
Party record book
Dakota Dunes, SD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
28.5%
433 votes · R+42.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 28.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
73.0%
1,345 votes · R+49.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
632votes
28.4% of the vote · R+41.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 571 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,616votes
72.6% of the vote · R+46.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,554 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−40.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+42.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −45.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+51.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +49.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Dakota Dunes · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Union County, South Dakota, the county containing Dakota Dunes — Dakota Dunes’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Dakota Dunes, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Dakota Dunes is a master-planned community near Sioux City whose cross-border location and affluent demographic profile push its voting patterns toward the upper end of Republican margins in an already reliably red state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.9 points.
A population of 3,936, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $136,125 describe the city.
In 2024, Dakota Dunes, South Dakota voted Republican by 46.9 points (R+46.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,227 votes cast, 571 went Democratic and 1,616 went Republican.
How many people live in Dakota Dunes, South Dakota?
Dakota Dunes, South Dakota has a population of 3,936 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dakota Dunes, South Dakota?
Median household income in Dakota Dunes, South Dakota is $136,125 — above the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of Dakota Dunes, South Dakota?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Dakota Dunes, South Dakota from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
