HarrisDemocratic26.4%3,392TrumpRepublican71.2%9,139OtherAll other candidates2.3%297
R+44.8- Lead
- 5,747
- Total
- 12,828
- vs nation
- R+43.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
South Dakota 16th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic28.0%3,567TrumpRepublican69.3%8,820OtherAll other candidates2.7%342
R+41.3- Lead
- 5,253
- Total
- 12,729
- vs nation
- R+45.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic27.1%3,090TrumpRepublican66.9%7,620OtherAll other candidates6.0%684
R+39.8- Lead
- 4,530
- Total
- 11,394
- vs nation
- R+41.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic34.4%3,692RomneyRepublican64.0%6,868OtherAll other candidates1.6%170
R+29.6- Lead
- 3,176
- Total
- 10,730
- vs nation
- R+33.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic39.4%4,160McCainRepublican58.4%6,158OtherAll other candidates2.2%233
R+18.9- Lead
- 1,998
- Total
- 10,551
- vs nation
- R+26.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic35.1%3,551BushRepublican63.6%6,428OtherAll other candidates1.3%135
R+28.4- Lead
- 2,877
- Total
- 10,114
- vs nation
- R+26.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic36.2%2,732BushRepublican61.5%4,650OtherAll other candidates2.3%173
R+25.4- Lead
- 1,918
- Total
- 7,555
- vs nation
- R+25.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.8%2,898DoleRepublican48.9%3,391OtherAll other candidates9.3%645
R+7.1- Lead
- 493
- Total
- 6,934
- vs nation
- R+15.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,2522024 5-year
- Population density
- 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,269 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,8252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 31, SD · twin score 91.1
presidential history
Party record book
South Dakota 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 20 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
45.6%
2,980 votes · R+8.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 43.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
77.8%
3,242 votes · R+60.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 71.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
4,160votes
39.4% of the vote · R+18.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 3,692 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,139votes
71.2% of the vote · R+44.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,820 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+14.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.9 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · −0.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+45.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +43.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn ShubeckState House · 16
RKarla LemsState House · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%9,527 | 9,527 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.8, this district of roughly 24,000 residents represents the deeply conservative rural character that defines much of western South Dakota's legislative delegation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.8 points.
A population of 24,252, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,825 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31 and State House District 6.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 31
South Dakota
91.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
State House District 6
South Dakota
91.0twin score
2012–2016 trajectory% unaffiliatedNorwegian ancestry≠ median age
State House District 13
South Dakota
90.4twin score
Norwegian ancestryelasticityGerman ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Dakota 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/46016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
South Dakota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within South Dakota 16th State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did South Dakota 16th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Dakota 16th State House District voted Republican by 44.8 points (R+44.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,828 votes cast, 3,392 went Democratic and 9,139 went Republican.
When did South Dakota 16th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Dakota 16th State House District voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in South Dakota 16th State House District?
South Dakota 16th State House District has a population of 24,252 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Dakota 16th State House District?
Median household income in South Dakota 16th State House District is $79,825 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of South Dakota 16th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in South Dakota 16th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.