- Lead
- 1,201
- Total
- 8,892
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Turnout
- —
Jefferson Valley-Yorktown, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 282
- Total
- 8,833
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 682
- Total
- 7,791
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 519
- Total
- 7,112
- vs nation
- R+11.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 372
- Total
- 7,662
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,133
- Total
- 7,557
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,1542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $157,0832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- North Merrick, NY · twin score 95.2
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −15.0% |
| 2008 | −4.9% |
| 2012 | −7.3% |
| 2016 | −8.8% |
| 2020 | −3.2% |
| 2024 | −13.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.1%Harris3,830 | 56.6%Trump5,031 | 0.3% | R+13.5 | R+10.3 | R+12.0 | 8,892 | |
| R | 47.8%Biden4,222 | 51.0%Trump4,504 | 1.2% | R+3.2 | D+5.6 | R+7.6 | 8,833 | |
| R | 43.6%Clinton3,396 | 52.3%Trump4,078 | 4.1% | R+8.8 | R+1.5 | R+10.8 | 7,791 | |
| R | 45.8%Obama3,255 | 53.1%Romney3,774 | 1.2% | R+7.3 | R+2.4 | R+11.2 | 7,112 | |
| R | 47.2%Obama3,614 | 52.0%McCain3,986 | 0.8% | R+4.9 | — | R+12.1 | 7,662 | |
| R | 42.0%Kerry3,175 | 57.0%Bush4,308 | 1.0% | R+15.0 | — | R+12.5 | 7,557 |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 41.3%3,341 | 58.7%4,754 | 8,095 |
| 2020 | R | 46.7%3,735 | 53.3%4,256 | 7,991 |
Jefferson Valley-Yorktown sits in northern Westchester County, where moderate-income homeowners and a significant share of commuters to New York City have historically produced competitive margins in county and state contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 15.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.5 points.
A population of 14,154, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $157,083 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of North Merrick and East Massapequa.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson Valley-Yorktown, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3638500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.