† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAgua FriaNew MexicoUnited States
Mexican41.9%32.4%11.3%
Spanish11.0%4.2%—
Spaniard8.7%3.6%—
Guatemalan1.0%0.2%0.5%
Salvadoran1.0%—0.7%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.5%1.8%
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
English12.1%8.5%9.5%
German10.2%8.7%12.5%
Irish8.0%6.9%9.4%
American3.8%3.9%5.3%
Italian3.4%2.4%4.8%
Scottish2.3%1.7%1.3%
French2.0%1.4%1.6%
Polish1.4%0.8%2.2%
Navajo2.5%5.8%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Agua Fria
New Mexico
United States
Median age
39.6
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
6.1%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
11.6%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Agua Fria
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
$65,101
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
25.3%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
13.6%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Agua Fria
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
49.3%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
49.3%
24.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Agua Fria
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
—
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Agua Fria, New Mexico
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+55.4%
2008
+70.6%
2012
+63.0%
2016
+58.7%
2020
+54.5%
2024
+45.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
71.6%Harris845
26.4%Trump312
1.9%
D+45.2
R+9.3
D+46.6
1,180
D
76.2%Biden784
21.7%Trump223
2.1%
D+54.5
R+4.2
D+50.1
1,029
D
74.5%Clinton612
15.8%Trump130
9.6%
D+58.7
R+4.2
D+56.6
821
D
79.4%Obama656
16.5%Romney136
4.1%
D+63.0
R+7.6
D+59.1
826
D
84.0%Obama314
13.4%McCain50
2.7%
D+70.6
D+15.2
D+63.3
374
D
76.2%Kerry499
20.8%Bush136
3.1%
D+55.4
—
D+57.9
655
Agua Fria sits on the southern fringe of Santa Fe, straddling the line between exurban growth and traditional New Mexico land-grant settlement patterns — a demographic mix that shapes its voting profile within a reliably Democratic county.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.6 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.2 points.
A population of 2,898, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,101 describe the city.
In 2024, Agua Fria, New Mexico voted Democratic by 45.2 points (D+45.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,180 votes cast, 845 went Democratic and 312 went Republican.
How many people live in Agua Fria, New Mexico?
Agua Fria, New Mexico has a population of 2,898 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Agua Fria, New Mexico?
Median household income in Agua Fria, New Mexico is $65,101 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Agua Fria, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Agua Fria, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
