Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic43.9%787TrumpRepublican54.3%973OtherAll other candidates1.8%32
R+10.4
Lead
186
Total
1,792
vs nation
R+8.9
BidenDemocratic48.3%788TrumpRepublican50.4%822OtherAll other candidates1.3%22
R+2.1
Lead
34
Total
1,632
vs nation
R+6.5
ClintonDemocratic39.9%534TrumpRepublican54.3%728OtherAll other candidates5.8%78
R+14.5
Lead
194
Total
1,340
vs nation
R+16.6
ObamaDemocratic49.6%633RomneyRepublican48.1%613OtherAll other candidates2.3%29
D+1.6
Lead
20
Total
1,275
vs nation
R+2.3
ObamaDemocratic51.6%660McCainRepublican47.0%602OtherAll other candidates1.4%18
D+4.5
Lead
58
Total
1,280
vs nation
R+2.7
KerryDemocratic46.0%522BushRepublican52.9%600OtherAll other candidates1.1%13
R+6.9
Lead
78
Total
1,135
vs nation
R+4.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+10.4MIT Election Lab
Population
2,9552024 5-year
Population density
799 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$80,3912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.0%2024 5-year
Black
28.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+4.5 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+14.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
82.2%1,802 participants ÷ 2,193 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+9.5 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-15.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
72.7%–73.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
46.7%
66.1%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,802
2,193 ± 298
82.2%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,272
1,924 ± 327
66.1%
Audited
E/D
1,659
2,195 ± 293
75.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,129
2,416 ± 303
46.7%
Audited
E/D
1,352
2,501 ± 328
54.1%
Audited
E/D
1,275
1,929
66.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Prince Frederick, MD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
51.6%
660 votes · D+4.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 49.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
54.3%
728 votes · R+14.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 54.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
788votes
48.3% of the vote · R+2.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 787 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
973votes
54.3% of the vote · R+10.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 822 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
−2.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.6 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −2.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+16.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +8.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Prince Frederick · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Calvert County, Maryland, the county containing Prince Frederick — Prince Frederick’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Prince Frederick, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Prince Frederick functions as the administrative hub for one of Maryland's faster-growing suburban counties, where shifting commuter demographics have gradually compressed the once-reliable Republican margins in countywide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 14.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 2,955, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,391 describe the city.
In 2024, Prince Frederick, Maryland voted Republican by 10.4 points (R+10.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,792 votes cast, 787 went Democratic and 973 went Republican.
When did Prince Frederick, Maryland last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Prince Frederick, Maryland voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Prince Frederick, Maryland?
Prince Frederick, Maryland has a population of 2,955 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Prince Frederick, Maryland?
Median household income in Prince Frederick, Maryland is $80,391 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Prince Frederick, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Prince Frederick, Maryland from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
