Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
64.1%64,159 participants ÷ 100,052 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+18.2 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
45.9%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
47.3%
50.9%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
64,159
100,052 ± 2,184
64.1%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
52,459
103,033 ± 2,307
50.9%
Audited
E/A
69,560
100,670 ± 2,157
69.1%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
49,256
104,201 ± 1,639
47.3%
Audited
E/A
65,968
105,388 ± 1,709
62.6%
Audited
E/A
61,962
102,792
60.3%
Derived
—
64,043
102,634
62.4%
Derived
—
67,110
102,476 extrapolated
65.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Metairie, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
33.0%
21,036 votes · R+31.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 32.1%
Republican
John McCain2008
76.0%
48,684 votes · R+53.7
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 75.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,112votes
32.1% of the vote · R+33.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 21,036 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
50,762votes
75.6% of the vote · R+52.1
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 48,684 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−30.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+31.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −38.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+61.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.7 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +51.5 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Metairie · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Jefferson Parish, Louisiana, the county containing Metairie — Metairie’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Metairie, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Metairie is Louisiana's third-largest population center yet remains unincorporated, making it a CDP whose suburban, majority-white electorate has historically swung Jefferson Parish toward Republicans by double-digit margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 53.7 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.8 points.
A population of 139,729, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,042 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. George and Slidell.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Metairie, Louisiana voted Republican by 31.8 points (R+31.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 63,727 votes cast, 21,036 went Democratic and 41,306 went Republican.
How many people live in Metairie, Louisiana?
Metairie, Louisiana has a population of 139,729 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Metairie, Louisiana?
Median household income in Metairie, Louisiana is $73,042 — below the national median of $80,734. The Louisiana state median is $60,756.
What is the political history of Metairie, Louisiana?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Metairie, Louisiana from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
