Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic39.0%793TrumpRepublican58.9%1,196OtherAll other candidates2.1%43
R+19.8
Lead
403
Total
2,032
vs nation
R+18.4
BidenDemocratic36.6%690TrumpRepublican61.4%1,157OtherAll other candidates2.0%38
R+24.8
Lead
467
Total
1,885
vs nation
R+29.2
ClintonDemocratic31.2%506TrumpRepublican64.1%1,041OtherAll other candidates4.7%77
R+32.9
Lead
535
Total
1,624
vs nation
R+35.0
ObamaDemocratic31.8%475RomneyRepublican65.4%979OtherAll other candidates2.8%42
R+33.7
Lead
504
Total
1,496
vs nation
R+37.5
ObamaDemocratic18.2%256McCainRepublican78.4%1,105OtherAll other candidates3.4%48
R+60.3
Lead
849
Total
1,409
vs nation
R+67.5
KerryDemocratic24.4%735BushRepublican74.1%2,237OtherAll other candidates1.5%45
R+49.8
Lead
1,502
Total
3,017
vs nation
R+47.3
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+19.8MIT Election Lab
Population
4,6252024 5-year
Population density
2,569 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$56,8132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.7%2024 5-year
Black
18.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+60.3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
61.3%2,036 participants ÷ 3,321 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+19.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
42.2%–43.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
34.8%
42.9%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,036
3,321 ± 307
61.3%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,368
3,189 ± 271
42.9%
Audited
E/A
1,889
3,049 ± 274
62.0%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,165
3,349 ± 250
34.8%
Audited
E/A
1,628
3,195 ± 217
51.0%
Audited
E/A
1,496
2,705
55.3%
Derived
—
1,409
3,079
45.8%
Derived
—
3,017
3,453 extrapolated
87.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Arabi, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
39.0%
793 votes · R+19.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 36.6%
Republican
John McCain2008
78.4%
1,105 votes · R+60.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 74.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
793votes
39.0% of the vote · R+19.8
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 735 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
2,237votes
74.1% of the vote · R+49.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,196 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−18.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −29.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+67.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.3 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +47.3 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Arabi · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana, the county containing Arabi — Arabi’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Arabi, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Arabi sits just across the Orleans Parish line along the Mississippi, functioning as a working-class suburb tightly bound to the industrial corridor. Its small electorate punches above its size in parish-level returns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 60.3 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.8 points.
A population of 4,625, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,813 describe the city.
In 2024, Arabi, Louisiana voted Republican by 19.8 points (R+19.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,032 votes cast, 793 went Democratic and 1,196 went Republican.
How many people live in Arabi, Louisiana?
Arabi, Louisiana has a population of 4,625 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arabi, Louisiana?
Median household income in Arabi, Louisiana is $56,813 — below the national median of $80,734. The Louisiana state median is $60,756.
What is the political history of Arabi, Louisiana?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arabi, Louisiana from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
