HarrisDemocratic29.1%457TrumpRepublican68.4%1,073OtherAll other candidates2.4%38
R+39.3- Lead
- 616
- Total
- 1,568
- vs nation
- R+37.8
Akashiccity
Marysville, KS
Contests in this Place (9 available)
President6 · 2004–2024 · 4 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic29.4%473TrumpRepublican67.6%1,087OtherAll other candidates2.9%47
R+38.2- Lead
- 614
- Total
- 1,607
- vs nation
- R+42.7
ClintonDemocratic27.2%406TrumpRepublican67.3%1,003OtherAll other candidates5.4%81
R+40.1- Lead
- 597
- Total
- 1,490
- vs nation
- R+42.2
ObamaDemocratic33.9%519RomneyRepublican63.1%967OtherAll other candidates3.1%47
R+29.2- Lead
- 448
- Total
- 1,533
- vs nation
- R+33.1
ObamaDemocratic40.7%670McCainRepublican56.3%927OtherAll other candidates3.1%51
R+15.6- Lead
- 257
- Total
- 1,648
- vs nation
- R+22.9
KerryDemocratic41.1%675BushRepublican58.6%964OtherAll other candidates0.3%5
R+17.6- Lead
- 289
- Total
- 1,644
- vs nation
- R+15.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,4222024 5-year
- Population density
- 744 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,3862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.5%1,590 participants ÷ 2,426 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.2%–51.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,590 | 2,426 ± 162 | 65.5% | Audited | E/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,235 | 2,401 ± 157 | 51.4% | Audited | E/A |
| 1,628 | 2,401 ± 138 | 67.8% | Audited | E/A | |
| 2018Mid | 1,279 | 2,471 ± 126 | 51.8% | Audited | E/A |
| 1,566 | 2,486 ± 130 | 63.0% | Audited | E/A | |
| 1,533 | 2,567 | 59.7% | Derived | — | |
| 1,648 | 2,485 | 66.3% | Derived | — | |
| 1,644 | 2,403 extrapolated | 68.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
- 2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
- 2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
- 2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
- 2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Marysville, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
41.1%
675 votes · R+17.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 40.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.4%
1,073 votes · R+39.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
675votes
41.1% of the vote · R+17.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 670 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,087votes
67.6% of the vote · R+38.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,073 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−15.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+17.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −22.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.8%403 | 73.2%1,098 | 1,501 |
| 2020 | R | 30.4%471 | 69.6%1,080 | 1,551 |
Marysville sits at the heart of northeast Kansas grain country, where a small, stable population has consistently backed Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 40.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.3 points.
A population of 3,422, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,386 describe the city.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marysville, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2045050/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Kansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Marysville, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marysville, Kansas voted Republican by 39.3 points (R+39.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,568 votes cast, 457 went Democratic and 1,073 went Republican.
How many people live in Marysville, Kansas?
Marysville, Kansas has a population of 3,422 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marysville, Kansas?
Median household income in Marysville, Kansas is $55,386 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Marysville, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Marysville, Kansas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.