Bel Aire, Kansas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −35.2% |
| 2008 | −22.3% |
| 2012 | −24.8% |
| 2016 | −18.1% |
| 2020 | −8.4% |
| 2024 | −9.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.4%Harris2,190 | 54.0%Trump2,660 | 1.6% | R+9.5 | R+1.1 | R+8.1 | 4,929 | |
| R | 44.7%Biden2,022 | 53.0%Trump2,402 | 2.3% | R+8.4 | D+9.8 | R+12.8 | 4,528 | |
| R | 35.5%Clinton1,331 | 53.7%Trump2,011 | 10.8% | R+18.1 | D+6.6 | R+20.2 | 3,747 | |
| R | 36.5%Obama1,254 | 61.3%Romney2,105 | 2.2% | R+24.8 | R+2.4 | R+28.6 | 3,433 | |
| R | 37.9%Obama1,516 | 60.3%McCain2,409 | 1.8% | R+22.3 | D+12.8 | R+29.6 | 3,997 | |
| R | 32.2%Kerry1,193 | 67.4%Bush2,495 | 0.4% | R+35.2 | — | R+32.7 | 3,703 |
Bel Aire has more than doubled in population since 2000, drawing families from Wichita's urban core and shifting its electorate toward a younger, owner-occupied demographic that competitive campaigns increasingly target.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.5 points.
A population of 9,043, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,795 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fort Wright and Lansing.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bel Aire, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2005337/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.