HarrisDemocratic51.8%14,965TrumpRepublican46.5%13,444OtherAll other candidates1.7%500
D+5.3- Lead
- 1,521
- Total
- 28,909
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Dubuque, IA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic54.9%16,506TrumpRepublican42.8%12,877OtherAll other candidates2.3%689
D+12.1- Lead
- 3,629
- Total
- 30,072
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.2%14,940TrumpRepublican40.3%11,538OtherAll other candidates7.4%2,129
D+11.9- Lead
- 3,402
- Total
- 28,607
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic61.3%18,560RomneyRepublican37.0%11,209OtherAll other candidates1.7%503
D+24.3- Lead
- 7,351
- Total
- 30,272
- vs nation
- D+20.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.5%18,376McCainRepublican34.9%10,084OtherAll other candidates1.6%458
D+28.7- Lead
- 8,292
- Total
- 28,918
- vs nation
- D+21.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic60.2%17,038BushRepublican38.6%10,908OtherAll other candidates1.2%333
D+21.7- Lead
- 6,130
- Total
- 28,279
- vs nation
- D+24.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,1742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,8452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Davenport, IA · twin score 90.9
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +21.7% |
| 2008 | +28.7% |
| 2012 | +24.3% |
| 2016 | +11.9% |
| 2020 | +12.1% |
| 2024 | +5.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 51.8%Harris14,965 | 46.5%Trump13,444 | 1.7% | D+5.3 | R+6.8 | D+6.7 | 28,909 | |
| D | 54.9%Biden16,506 | 42.8%Trump12,877 | 2.3% | D+12.1 | D+0.2 | D+7.6 | 30,072 | |
| D | 52.2%Clinton14,940 | 40.3%Trump11,538 | 7.4% | D+11.9 | R+12.4 | D+9.8 | 28,607 | |
| D | 61.3%Obama18,560 | 37.0%Romney11,209 | 1.7% | D+24.3 | R+4.4 | D+20.4 | 30,272 | |
| D | 63.5%Obama18,376 | 34.9%McCain10,084 | 1.6% | D+28.7 | — | D+21.4 | 28,918 | |
| D | 60.2%Kerry17,038 | 38.6%Bush10,908 | 1.2% | D+21.7 | — | D+24.1 | 28,279 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.2%13,526 | 50.8%13,950 | 27,476 |
| 2020 | D | 57.6%16,892 | 42.4%12,452 | 29,344 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 56.7%16,181 | 43.3%12,350 | 28,531 |
Dubuque has historically backed Democratic candidates in presidential races, but its working-class Catholic heritage and manufacturing economy have made it increasingly competitive as rural Iowa has trended rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.7 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.
A population of 59,174, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,845 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Davenport and Janesville.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Davenport
Iowa
90.9twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Janesville
Wisconsin
89.0twin score
population scale2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Waterloo
Iowa
88.2twin score
population scale12-yr trend2008 margin≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dubuque, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1922395/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dubuque, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dubuque, Iowa voted Democratic by 5.3 points (D+5.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 28,909 votes cast, 14,965 went Democratic and 13,444 went Republican.
How many people live in Dubuque, Iowa?
Dubuque, Iowa has a population of 59,174 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dubuque, Iowa?
Median household income in Dubuque, Iowa is $65,845 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Dubuque, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Dubuque, Iowa from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.