Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic65.4%620TrumpRepublican31.8%301OtherAll other candidates2.8%27
D+33.6
Lead
319
Total
948
vs nation
D+35.1
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic72.7%824TrumpRepublican24.5%278OtherAll other candidates2.8%32
D+48.1
Lead
546
Total
1,134
vs nation
D+43.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic67.8%585TrumpRepublican19.7%170OtherAll other candidates12.5%108
D+48.1
Lead
415
Total
863
vs nation
D+46.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic75.5%615RomneyRepublican22.5%183OtherAll other candidates2.1%17
D+53.0
Lead
432
Total
815
vs nation
D+49.2
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic80.5%836McCainRepublican17.0%177OtherAll other candidates2.5%26
D+63.4
Lead
659
Total
1,039
vs nation
D+56.2
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic66.6%606BushRepublican31.5%287OtherAll other candidates1.9%17
D+35.1
Lead
319
Total
910
vs nation
D+37.5
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+33.6MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5122024 5-year
Median household income
$100,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
39.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+63.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+35.1%
2008
+63.4%
2012
+53.0%
2016
+48.1%
2020
+48.1%
2024
+33.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
65.4%Harris620
31.8%Trump301
2.8%
D+33.6
R+14.5
D+35.1
948
D
72.7%Biden824
24.5%Trump278
2.8%
D+48.1
D+0.1
D+43.7
1,134
D
67.8%Clinton585
19.7%Trump170
12.5%
D+48.1
R+4.9
D+46.0
863
D
75.5%Obama615
22.5%Romney183
2.1%
D+53.0
R+10.4
D+49.2
815
D
80.5%Obama836
17.0%McCain177
2.5%
D+63.4
—
D+56.2
1,039
D
66.6%Kerry606
31.5%Bush287
1.9%
D+35.1
—
D+37.5
910
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
70.1%585
25.2%210
834
Paia's small, transient population and mix of long-tenured locals and seasonal workers creates unusually low and variable voter registration rates for a Maui community its size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.4 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.6 points.
A population of 2,512, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,559 describe the city.
In 2024, Paia, Hawaii voted Democratic by 33.6 points (D+33.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 948 votes cast, 620 went Democratic and 301 went Republican.
How many people live in Paia, Hawaii?
Paia, Hawaii has a population of 2,512 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paia, Hawaii?
Median household income in Paia, Hawaii is $100,559 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Paia, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Paia, Hawaii from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.