Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic27.2%607TrumpRepublican71.6%1,595OtherAll other candidates1.2%26
R+44.3
Lead
988
Total
2,228
vs nation
R+42.9
BidenDemocratic32.4%632TrumpRepublican66.6%1,300OtherAll other candidates1.0%20
R+34.2
Lead
668
Total
1,952
vs nation
R+38.7
ClintonDemocratic31.3%516TrumpRepublican64.7%1,067OtherAll other candidates3.9%65
R+33.4
Lead
551
Total
1,648
vs nation
R+35.5
ObamaDemocratic42.5%673RomneyRepublican56.5%895OtherAll other candidates0.9%15
R+14.0
Lead
222
Total
1,583
vs nation
R+17.9
ObamaDemocratic41.7%638McCainRepublican56.0%857OtherAll other candidates2.4%36
R+14.3
Lead
219
Total
1,531
vs nation
R+21.6
KerryDemocratic40.5%543BushRepublican59.4%797OtherAll other candidates0.1%2
R+18.9
Lead
254
Total
1,342
vs nation
R+16.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+44.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,7622024 5-year
Population density
238 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
15.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$50,4292024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.9%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+44.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
76.4%2,231 participants ÷ 2,922 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+10.7 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-12.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
59.5%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,231
2,922 ± 670
76.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,505
2,528 ± 612
59.5%
Audited
E/D
1,956
2,784 ± 618
70.3%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Rainbow Lakes Estates, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
42.5%
673 votes · R+14.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.6%
1,595 votes · R+44.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
673votes
42.5% of the vote · R+14.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 638 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,595votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,300 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−16.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+18.9 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −17.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+42.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.3 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +38.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rainbow Lakes Estates · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Rainbow Lakes Estates, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Rainbow Lakes Estates sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 3,762, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,429 describe the city.
How did Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,228 votes cast, 607 went Democratic and 1,595 went Republican.
How many people live in Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida?
Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida has a population of 3,762 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida?
Median household income in Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida is $50,429 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Rainbow Lakes Estates, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
