Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic33.2%969TrumpRepublican64.2%1,876OtherAll other candidates2.6%76
R+31.1
Lead
907
Total
2,921
vs nation
R+29.6
BidenDemocratic33.4%996TrumpRepublican63.9%1,908OtherAll other candidates2.7%82
R+30.5
Lead
912
Total
2,986
vs nation
R+35.0
ClintonDemocratic31.3%744TrumpRepublican62.4%1,483OtherAll other candidates6.3%150
R+31.1
Lead
739
Total
2,377
vs nation
R+33.2
ObamaDemocratic30.2%753RomneyRepublican66.6%1,660OtherAll other candidates3.2%80
R+36.4
Lead
907
Total
2,493
vs nation
R+40.2
ObamaDemocratic38.0%885McCainRepublican61.6%1,435OtherAll other candidates0.3%8
R+23.6
Lead
550
Total
2,328
vs nation
R+30.9
KerryDemocratic31.1%733BushRepublican67.9%1,601OtherAll other candidates1.0%23
R+36.8
Lead
868
Total
2,357
vs nation
R+34.4
ClintonDemocratic30.7%581DoleRepublican51.5%974OtherAll other candidates17.9%338
R+20.8
Lead
393
Total
1,893
vs nation
R+29.3
ClintonDemocratic24.9%528BushRepublican37.0%786OtherAll other candidates38.1%810
Other win
Lead
24
Total
2,124
vs nation
R+17.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+31.1MIT Election Lab
Population
3,8012024 5-year
Population density
464 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
8.2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$135,5302024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.2%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+36.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20245 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
96.3%2,986 participants ÷ 3,102 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
-12.9 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-17.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
80.2%
79.6%
20122016201820222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,986
3,102 ± 437
96.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
2,314
2,907 ± 406
79.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,582
3,218 ± 380
80.2%
Audited
E/D
2,528
3,755 ± 456
67.3%
Audited
E/D
2,493
3,931
63.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Shingle Springs, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.0%
885 votes · R+23.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 33.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.9%
1,601 votes · R+36.8
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 66.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
996votes
33.4% of the vote · R+30.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 969 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,908votes
63.9% of the vote · R+30.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,876 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−17.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.1 · U.S. D+5.6 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −29.3 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+40.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.4 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +35.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Shingle Springs · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are El Dorado County, California, the county containing Shingle Springs — Shingle Springs’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Shingle Springs, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Shingle Springs sits along Highway 50 in the Sierra Nevada foothills, where population growth driven by Sacramento-area outmigration has gradually shifted the surrounding precinct's electoral composition over recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 3,801, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $135,530 describe the city.
In 2024, Shingle Springs, California voted Republican by 31.1 points (R+31.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,921 votes cast, 969 went Democratic and 1,876 went Republican.
How many people live in Shingle Springs, California?
Shingle Springs, California has a population of 3,801 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shingle Springs, California?
Median household income in Shingle Springs, California is $135,530 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Shingle Springs, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Shingle Springs, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
