East Bakersfield, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +29.1% |
| 2008 | +43.7% |
| 2012 | +56.2% |
| 2016 | +57.6% |
| 2020 | +40.3% |
| 2024 | +18.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 57.4%Harris698 | 39.1%Trump475 | 3.5% | D+18.3 | R+21.9 | D+19.8 | 1,216 | |
| D | 68.7%Biden923 | 28.4%Trump382 | 2.9% | D+40.3 | R+17.3 | D+35.8 | 1,344 | |
| D | 75.3%Clinton857 | 17.8%Trump202 | 6.9% | D+57.6 | D+1.3 | D+55.5 | 1,138 | |
| D | 76.7%Obama775 | 20.5%Romney207 | 2.8% | D+56.2 | D+12.5 | D+52.4 | 1,010 | |
| D | 71.4%Obama805 | 27.7%McCain312 | 1.0% | D+43.7 | D+14.6 | D+36.4 | 1,128 | |
| D | 63.4%Kerry590 | 34.3%Bush319 | 2.4% | D+29.1 | — | D+31.6 | 931 |
East Bakersfield's population skews heavily Hispanic and lower-income relative to Kern County as a whole, sitting within a congressional district that has shifted from reliably Republican to a genuine swing battleground over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 21.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.3 points.
A population of 11,062, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,644 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Parlier and August.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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East Bakersfield, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0620515/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.