† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBear Valley SpringsCaliforniaUnited States
German16.4%6.8%12.5%
English16.1%6.3%9.5%
Irish13.8%5.9%9.4%
American10.1%2.8%5.3%
Italian5.5%3.4%4.8%
French2.9%1.3%1.6%
Scottish2.9%0.9%1.3%
Polish1.7%0.9%2.2%
Mexican8.3%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.2%2.0%0.7%
Aztec2.0%0.3%—
Filipino1.2%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian0.8%2.3%1.4%
Chinese0.2%3.9%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%1.7%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bear Valley Springs
California
United States
Median age
53.1
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
2.1%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
31.7%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bear Valley Springs
California
United States
Median household income
$120,481
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
4.6%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
40.0%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bear Valley Springs
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.3%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
3.9%
28.4%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.2%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bear Valley Springs
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bear Valley Springs, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−58.0%
2008
−45.1%
2012
−50.2%
2016
−46.6%
2020
−38.0%
2024
−37.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
30.7%Harris1,189
67.7%Trump2,619
1.6%
R+37.0
D+1.1
R+35.5
3,870
R
30.0%Biden1,158
68.1%Trump2,624
1.9%
R+38.0
D+8.5
R+42.5
3,854
R
24.3%Clinton779
70.9%Trump2,269
4.8%
R+46.6
D+3.6
R+48.7
3,200
R
23.5%Obama736
73.7%Romney2,306
2.7%
R+50.2
R+5.1
R+54.0
3,128
R
27.3%Obama822
72.4%McCain2,179
0.3%
R+45.1
D+12.9
R+52.4
3,010
R
20.9%Kerry605
78.8%Bush2,285
0.3%
R+58.0
—
R+55.5
2,899
Bear Valley Springs is a private gated community in Kern County's Tehachapi Mountains, where an older, homeowner-heavy population tends to produce above-average off-cycle election participation relative to its modest size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 58.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.0 points.
A population of 5,912, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,481 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gulf Breeze and Lake Norman of Catawba.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Bear Valley Springs, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bear Valley Springs, California voted Republican by 37.0 points (R+37.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,870 votes cast, 1,189 went Democratic and 2,619 went Republican.
How many people live in Bear Valley Springs, California?
Bear Valley Springs, California has a population of 5,912 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bear Valley Springs, California?
Median household income in Bear Valley Springs, California is $120,481 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bear Valley Springs, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bear Valley Springs, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
