Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic39.9%480TrumpRepublican57.9%697OtherAll other candidates2.2%26
R+18.0
Lead
217
Total
1,203
vs nation
R+16.6
BidenDemocratic49.3%605TrumpRepublican48.2%592OtherAll other candidates2.4%30
D+1.1
Lead
13
Total
1,227
vs nation
R+3.4
ClintonDemocratic51.3%499TrumpRepublican42.7%415OtherAll other candidates6.1%59
D+8.6
Lead
84
Total
973
vs nation
D+6.5
ObamaDemocratic45.4%410RomneyRepublican52.2%472OtherAll other candidates2.4%22
R+6.9
Lead
62
Total
904
vs nation
R+10.7
ObamaDemocratic46.2%463McCainRepublican53.1%532OtherAll other candidates0.7%7
R+6.9
Lead
69
Total
1,002
vs nation
R+14.2
KerryDemocratic36.5%335BushRepublican62.7%575OtherAll other candidates0.8%7
R+26.2
Lead
240
Total
917
vs nation
R+23.7
ClintonDemocratic43.8%311DoleRepublican45.8%325OtherAll other candidates10.4%74
R+2.0
Lead
14
Total
710
vs nation
R+10.5
ClintonDemocratic41.1%377BushRepublican35.6%327OtherAll other candidates23.3%214
D+5.4
Lead
50
Total
918
vs nation
R+0.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+18.0MIT Election Lab
Population
3,8902024 5-year
Population density
1,852 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$64,2762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
9.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
74.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+26.2 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
70.7%1,228 participants ÷ 1,736 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+23.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
47.7%–51.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
41.6%
38.5%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,228
1,736 ± 414
70.7%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
756
1,962 ± 374
38.5%
Audited
E/D
1,242
2,017 ± 282
61.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
878
2,110 ± 290
41.6%
Audited
E/D
1,012
1,801 ± 240
56.2%
Audited
E/D
904
1,748
51.7%
Derived
—
1,002
1,754
57.1%
Derived
—
917
1,760 extrapolated
52.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Armona, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
51.3%
499 votes · D+8.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 49.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
62.7%
575 votes · R+26.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 57.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
605votes
49.3% of the vote · D+1.1
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 499 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
697votes
57.9% of the vote · R+18.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 592 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+6.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.6 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −0.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+23.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.2 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +16.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Armona · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kings County, California, the county containing Armona — Armona’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Armona, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Armona is a census-designated place in Kings County whose population is predominantly Hispanic, reflecting the agricultural workforce patterns common across California's Central Valley. Voter participation rates here tend to run below state averages.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.6 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 26.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 19.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 3,890, a 10% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,276 describe the city.
In 2024, Armona, California voted Republican by 18.0 points (R+18.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,203 votes cast, 480 went Democratic and 697 went Republican.
When did Armona, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Armona, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Armona, California?
Armona, California has a population of 3,890 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Armona, California?
Median household income in Armona, California is $64,276 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Armona, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Armona, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
