akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 33·California

California 33rd State House District has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential cycles.

A once-safe Democratic seat now decided by single digits

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
284,705
2024 ACS

California 33rd State House District, California: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
284,7052024 5-year
Median household income
$71,2162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
37.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
61.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+47 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 2004MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.4%
30,42847,48379,719
R
−9.6%
37,25445,36684,594
R
−10.8%
26,99234,09965,980
R
−14.4%
24,75433,33459,566
R
−14.1%
27,06736,14864,458
R
−31.8%
20,01838,98059,539
R
−20.6%
20,29531,23953,224
R
−9.4%
20,41625,07549,583
R
−6.1%
18,74721,81150,201
R
−16.6%
17,78524,95443,255
R
−28.2%
15,23627,35442,974
R
−19.5%
14,29621,83338,554
R
−5.5%
15,23617,04832,892
R
−19.7%
13,45720,42435,332
R
−2.8%
14,87115,82533,666
D
+30.7%
22,53211,92934,490
D
+4.4%
16,42015,04231,620
D
+5.8%
14,97813,31828,379
R
−5.3%
13,63615,17229,031
D
+13.8%
12,3589,27622,268
D
+17.5%
11,0937,77419,006
D
+26.3%
13,8808,05222,150
D
+45.4%
12,2864,54117,060
D
+36.9%
9,4774,18514,330
R
−15.4%
4,5446,21910,896
R
−31.3%
2,0295,38110,718
R
−26.8%
2,9275,2778,760
D
+8.3%
4,8994,0789,841
O
+46.7%
3,14406,727
R
−12.0%
1,4971,9553,824
R
−21.7%
1,0411,7213,139
R
−1.1%
1,4791,5133,146
D
+19.4%
1,5811,0582,691
D
+11.4%
7015121,665
D
+6.9%
7026061,383
D
+13.5%
450337839
D
+16.8%
346241625
D
+16.8%
361257618

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.0%
English
4.4%
Irish
4.2%
American
1.9%
Italian
1.7%
French
0.8%
Scottish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
54.4%
speak English only
Spanish41.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.2%
Other Christian
7.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Baptist
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

California's 33rd Assembly District has shifted toward competitive territory, with the 2024 presidential margin landing at R+1.4 — a striking signal in a state where most legislative districts tilt heavily toward one party.

The Republican margin in California 33rd State House District reached its widest at thirty-two points in 2004. The margin in 2024 was twenty-one points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,216, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 284,705 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 33, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/06033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 33, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 33, California voted Republican by 21.4 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 79,719 votes cast, 30,428 went Democratic and 47,483 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 33, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 33, California as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Assembly District 33, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 33, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Assembly District 33, California?
Assembly District 33, California has a population of 284,705 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 33, California?
Median household income in Assembly District 33, California is $71,216 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Assembly District 33, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 33, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.