Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic49.1%408TrumpRepublican45.1%375OtherAll other candidates5.8%48
D+4.0
Lead
33
Total
831
vs nation
D+5.4
BidenDemocratic53.1%530TrumpRepublican43.5%434OtherAll other candidates3.4%34
D+9.6
Lead
96
Total
998
vs nation
D+5.2
ClintonDemocratic45.4%480TrumpRepublican41.0%433OtherAll other candidates13.6%144
D+4.4
Lead
47
Total
1,057
vs nation
D+2.4
ObamaDemocratic47.6%472RomneyRepublican47.7%473OtherAll other candidates4.7%47
R+0.1
Lead
1
Total
992
vs nation
R+4.0
ObamaDemocratic42.5%481McCainRepublican53.9%610OtherAll other candidates3.5%40
R+11.4
Lead
129
Total
1,131
vs nation
R+18.7
KerryDemocratic31.1%241BushRepublican64.8%502OtherAll other candidates4.1%32
R+33.7
Lead
261
Total
775
vs nation
R+31.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+4.0MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7942024 5-year
Population density
200 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
14 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$85,4812024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
71.8%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+9.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+33.7 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20246 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
6.3%132 participants ÷ 2,088 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
200420082012201620202024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
132
2,088 ± 269
6.3%
Audited
E/D
149
2,098 ± 218
7.1%
Audited
E/D
162
2,229 ± 201
7.3%
Audited
E/A
992
2,152
46.1%
Derived
—
1,131
2,391
47.3%
Derived
—
775
2,630 extrapolated
29.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Seward, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
53.1%
530 votes · D+9.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 49.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
64.8%
502 votes · R+33.7
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 53.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
530votes
53.1% of the vote · D+9.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 481 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
610votes
53.9% of the vote · R+11.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 502 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+5.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.0 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +5.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+31.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +18.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Seward · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska, the county containing Seward — Seward’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Seward, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Seward's year-round harbor on Resurrection Bay makes it a critical freight and ferry gateway for southcentral Alaska, giving its roughly 2,800 residents an outsized economic stake in maritime and federal infrastructure policy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 33.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.0 points.
A population of 2,794, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,481 describe the city.
In 2024, Seward, Alaska voted Democratic by 4.0 points (D+4.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 831 votes cast, 408 went Democratic and 375 went Republican.
When did Seward, Alaska last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Seward, Alaska voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Seward, Alaska?
Seward, Alaska has a population of 2,794 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Seward, Alaska?
Median household income in Seward, Alaska is $85,481 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Seward, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Seward, Alaska from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
