Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic26.8%165TrumpRepublican71.5%440OtherAll other candidates1.6%10
R+44.7
Lead
275
Total
615
vs nation
R+43.2
BidenDemocratic24.2%193TrumpRepublican70.8%566OtherAll other candidates5.0%40
R+46.7
Lead
373
Total
799
vs nation
R+51.1
ClintonDemocratic18.2%165TrumpRepublican68.3%621OtherAll other candidates13.5%123
R+50.2
Lead
456
Total
909
vs nation
R+52.3
ObamaDemocratic21.5%197RomneyRepublican74.0%678OtherAll other candidates4.5%41
R+52.5
Lead
481
Total
916
vs nation
R+56.4
ObamaDemocratic22.3%228McCainRepublican76.9%787OtherAll other candidates0.9%9
R+54.6
Lead
559
Total
1,024
vs nation
R+61.9
KerryDemocratic32.6%216BushRepublican64.0%424OtherAll other candidates3.5%23
R+31.4
Lead
208
Total
663
vs nation
R+28.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+44.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,1552024 5-year
Population density
106 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
29.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$68,1992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
65.5%2024 5-year
Black
5.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+54.6 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20246 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
65.4%1,285 participants ÷ 1,964 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
200420082012201620202024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,285
1,964 ± 261
65.4%
Audited
E/D
1,661
2,260 ± 244
73.5%
Audited
E/D
1,865
1,875 ± 214
99.5%
Audited
E/D
916
1,659
55.2%
Derived
—
1,024
2,420
42.3%
Derived
—
663
3,181 extrapolated
20.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Eielson AFB, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
32.6%
216 votes · R+31.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 26.8%
Republican
John McCain2008
76.9%
787 votes · R+54.6
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 74.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
228votes
22.3% of the vote · R+54.6
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 216 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
787votes
76.9% of the vote · R+54.6
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 678 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−28.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+31.4 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −43.2 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+61.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.6 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +56.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Eielson AFB · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Fairbanks North Star Borough, Alaska, the county containing Eielson AFB — Eielson AFB’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Eielson AFB, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Eielson AFB CDP is a military installation community near Fairbanks whose population fluctuates with deployment cycles, making civilian electoral participation patterns here distinct from surrounding Fairbanks North Star Borough precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 54.6 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.
A population of 3,155, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,199 describe the city.
In 2024, Eielson AFB, Alaska voted Republican by 44.7 points (R+44.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 615 votes cast, 165 went Democratic and 440 went Republican.
How many people live in Eielson AFB, Alaska?
Eielson AFB, Alaska has a population of 3,155 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Eielson AFB, Alaska?
Median household income in Eielson AFB, Alaska is $68,199 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Eielson AFB, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Eielson AFB, Alaska from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
