HarrisDemocratic39.0%17,029TrumpRepublican56.9%24,880OtherAll other candidates4.1%1,798
R+18.0- Lead
- 7,851
- Total
- 43,707
- vs nation
- R+16.5
Akashicmetro area
Fairbanks-College, AK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic40.3%18,249TrumpRepublican55.0%24,878OtherAll other candidates4.7%2,144
R+14.6- Lead
- 6,629
- Total
- 45,271
- vs nation
- R+19.1
ClintonDemocratic33.2%13,491TrumpRepublican53.7%21,821OtherAll other candidates13.1%5,321
R+20.5- Lead
- 8,330
- Total
- 40,633
- vs nation
- R+22.6
ObamaDemocratic36.3%14,713RomneyRepublican58.6%23,758OtherAll other candidates5.1%2,070
R+22.3- Lead
- 9,045
- Total
- 40,541
- vs nation
- R+26.2
ObamaDemocratic35.7%15,868McCainRepublican61.6%27,327OtherAll other candidates2.7%1,202
R+25.8- Lead
- 11,459
- Total
- 44,397
- vs nation
- R+33.1
KerryDemocratic32.7%12,752BushRepublican64.0%24,992OtherAll other candidates3.3%1,289
R+31.4- Lead
- 12,240
- Total
- 39,033
- vs nation
- R+28.9
GoreDemocratic25.3%10,483BushRepublican61.5%25,529OtherAll other candidates13.3%5,501
R+36.2- Lead
- 15,046
- Total
- 41,513
- vs nation
- R+36.8
ClintonDemocratic30.6%10,834DoleRepublican52.4%18,515OtherAll other candidates17.0%6,002
R+21.7- Lead
- 7,681
- Total
- 35,351
- vs nation
- R+30.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 95,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 13 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,335 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.4 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Anchorage, AK · twin score 86.7
presidential history
Party record book
Fairbanks-College, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles · 16 with a vote-share denominator · 17 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.7%
4,810 votes · D+15.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40.3%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
66.3%
18,791 votes · R+37.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 64.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
18,249votes
40.3% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,029 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
27,327votes
61.6% of the vote · R+25.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 25,529 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+8.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+15.0 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · +3.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+36.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.2 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +33.1 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+14.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+18.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
76,812 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,447 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −20,263 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,607 |
| 2012 | +571 |
| 2013 | −1,071 |
| 2014 | −3,241 |
| 2015 | −1,304 |
| 2016 | −535 |
| 2017 | −2,348 |
| 2018 | −2,166 |
| 2019 | −2,763 |
| 2021 | −425 |
| 2022 | −679 |
| 2023 | −1,186 |
| 2024 | −2,062 |
| 2025 | −1,447 |
Fairbanks-College blends a sizable military and university population with a deep-rooted resource-economy workforce, producing a competitive mix that has swung statewide races by narrowing margins in interior precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.4 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 95,460, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,267 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Anchorage, AK and Walla Walla, WA.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Anchorage, AK
86.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000–2008 trajectory≠ % Asian
Walla Walla, WA
71.1twin score
12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectoryelasticity≠ median age
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
69.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2008 margin≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska voted Republican by 18.0 points (R+18.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 43,707 votes cast, 17,029 went Democratic and 24,880 went Republican.
When did Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska?
Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska has a population of 95,460 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska?
Median household income in Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska is $88,267 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fairbanks-College, AK, Alaska from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.