akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Michigan

Michigan 4th Congressional District delivered R+8 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Michigan's most reliably Republican districts by a wide margin

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
593,794
2024 ACS

Michigan 4th Congressional District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
593,7942024 5-year
Median household income
$77,4252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.5%2024 5-year
Black
6.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+12 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1924MIT Election Lab
R
HUIZENGA, BillCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: MOOLENAAR, John (2021–2023), MOOLENAAR, John (2019–2021), MOOLENAAR, John (2017–2019), MOOLENAAR, John (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

6 counties · 1 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.8%
152,686179,115337,621
R
−6.5%
148,045168,912323,041
R
−11.5%
113,926145,918278,236
R
−7.2%
122,108141,454267,542
D
+1.4%
140,142136,316281,235
R
−15.3%
111,554152,408266,549
R
−16.4%
91,513128,582226,555
R
−7.9%
85,349101,479204,491
R
−6.9%
79,31894,642220,927
R
−25.2%
69,357116,574187,177
R
−37.9%
57,537128,381187,030
R
−24.6%
63,290110,800192,863
R
−26.0%
63,722109,663176,443
R
−30.3%
55,782106,017165,544
R
−22.6%
49,67083,326148,878
D
+12.1%
77,65160,878138,857
R
−31.9%
47,28191,841139,711
R
−41.2%
37,40390,176128,104
R
−37.8%
36,93682,428120,362
R
−25.8%
31,45154,18787,996
R
−29.2%
32,63959,82493,186
R
−24.4%
36,26459,90696,736
R
−4.5%
39,42543,36586,734
R
−7.1%
36,02741,70680,128
R
−59.0%
13,80754,27368,541
R
−59.6%
8,61643,31358,236
R
−49.9%
11,60436,94250,789
R
−5.6%
17,03619,14738,028
O
+2.9%
9,3558,38033,502
R
−28.6%
10,90720,50033,508
R
−44.4%
7,89722,14432,065
R
−18.5%
13,72420,22435,091
R
−10.5%
15,99419,86036,757
R
−12.9%
11,71915,65630,599
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D48.6%48.3%5,577,187
2020D49.9%48.2%5,479,720
2018D52.3%45.8%4,237,271
2014D54.6%41.3%3,121,771
2012D58.8%38.0%4,652,918
2008D62.7%33.8%4,848,620
2006D56.9%41.3%3,780,142
2002D60.6%37.9%3,129,287
2000D49.5%47.9%4,167,685
1996D58.4%39.9%3,762,575
1994R42.7%51.9%3,043,385
1990D57.5%41.2%2,560,494
1988D60.4%38.5%3,505,985
1984D51.8%47.2%3,700,938
1982D57.7%40.9%2,994,334
1978D52.1%47.9%2,846,630
1976D52.5%46.8%3,490,412

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.0%
English
11.5%
Irish
9.6%
Polish
4.8%
American
4.8%
Italian
2.8%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.0%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
10.9%
Other Christian
10.3%
Mainline Protestant
9.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Methodist
2.2%
Baptist
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan's 4th stretches across the rural western Lower Peninsula, where a 26-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a heavily exurban and agricultural electorate with little competitive history in recent cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twelve points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 593,794, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,425 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Michigan voted Republican by 7.8 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 337,621 votes cast, 152,686 went Democratic and 179,115 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 31 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 4, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Congressional District 4, Michigan has a population of 593,794 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Michigan is $77,425 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.