Michigan 4th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +2.2% |
| 2012 | −6.1% |
| 2016 | −9.5% |
| 2020 | −3.9% |
| 2024 | −5.5% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | R | 43.4%184,641 | 55.1%234,489 | 425,817 |
| 2022 | 4 | R | 42.5%143,690 | 54.4%183,936 | 338,348 |
| 2020 | 4 | R | 32.4%120,802 | 65.0%242,621 | 373,245 |
| 2018 | 4 | R | 37.4%106,540 | 62.6%178,510 | 285,050 |
| 2016 | 4 | R | 32.1%101,277 | 61.6%194,572 | 315,751 |
| 2014 | 4 | R | 39.1%85,777 | 56.5%123,962 | 219,423 |
| 2012 | 4 | R | 33.6%104,996 | 63.1%197,386 | 312,949 |
| 2010 | 4 | R | 30.5%68,458 | 66.2%148,531 | 224,354 |
| 2008 | 4 | R | 35.7%117,665 | 61.9%204,259 | 329,764 |
| 2006 | 4 | R | 37.9%100,260 | 60.6%160,041 | 264,245 |
| 2004 | 4 | R | 34.8%110,885 | 64.4%205,274 | 318,924 |
| 2002 | 4 | R | 30.2%65,950 | 68.2%149,090 | 218,573 |
| 2000 | 4 | R | 29.1%78,019 | 68.0%182,128 | 267,819 |
| 1998 | 4 | R | 0.0%0 | 91.3%155,343 | 170,109 |
| 1996 | 4 | R | 32.7%79,691 | 65.5%159,561 | 243,645 |
| 1994 | 4 | R | 25.5%50,544 | 73.1%145,176 | 198,534 |
| 1992 | 4 | R | 34.8%87,573 | 62.5%157,337 | 251,539 |
| 1990 | 4 | R | 42.2%55,449 | 57.8%75,850 | 131,302 |
| 1988 | 4 | R | 29.2%54,428 | 70.8%132,270 | 186,703 |
| 1986 | 4 | R | 36.6%41,624 | 61.9%70,331 | 113,633 |
| 1984 | 4 | R | 33.1%63,159 | 66.9%127,907 | 191,087 |
| 1982 | 4 | R | 38.8%56,877 | 59.7%87,489 | 146,605 |
| 1980 | 4 | R | 24.0%47,777 | 74.7%148,950 | 199,292 |
| 1978 | 4 | R | 28.3%38,204 | 70.6%95,440 | 135,108 |
| 1976 | 4 | R | 38.8%69,655 | 60.0%107,881 | 179,737 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 48.6%2,712,686 | 48.3%2,693,680 | 5,577,187 |
| 2020 | D | 49.9%2,734,568 | 48.2%2,642,233 | 5,479,720 |
| 2018 | D | 52.3%2,214,478 | 45.8%1,938,818 | 4,237,253 |
| 2014 | D | 54.6%1,704,936 | 41.3%1,290,199 | 3,121,698 |
| 2012 | D | 58.8%2,735,826 | 38.0%1,767,386 | 4,652,849 |
| 2008 | D | 62.7%3,038,386 | 33.8%1,641,070 | 4,848,620 |
| 2006 | D | 56.9%2,151,278 | 41.3%1,559,597 | 3,780,118 |
| 2002 | D | 60.6%1,896,614 | 37.9%1,185,545 | 3,129,287 |
| 2000 | D | 49.5%2,061,952 | 47.9%1,994,693 | 4,167,685 |
| 1996 | D | 58.4%2,195,738 | 39.9%1,500,106 | 3,762,271 |
| 1994 | R | 42.7%1,300,960 | 51.9%1,578,770 | 3,043,385 |
| 1990 | D | 57.5%1,471,753 | 41.2%1,055,695 | 2,560,244 |
| 1988 | D | 60.4%2,116,865 | 38.5%1,348,219 | 3,505,985 |
| 1984 | D | 51.8%1,915,831 | 47.2%1,745,302 | 3,700,938 |
| 1982 | D | 57.7%1,728,793 | 40.9%1,223,288 | 2,994,292 |
| 1978 | D | 52.1%1,484,193 | 47.9%1,362,165 | 2,846,630 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5%1,831,031 | 46.8%1,635,087 | 3,490,412 |
Michigan's 4th stretches across the rural western Lower Peninsula, where a 26-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a heavily exurban and agricultural electorate with little competitive history in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 9.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.5 points.
A population of 774,600, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,722 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 3.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.