Michigan 4th Congressional District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 593,7942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,4252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: MOOLENAAR, John (2021–2023), MOOLENAAR, John (2019–2021), MOOLENAAR, John (2017–2019), MOOLENAAR, John (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 152,686 | 179,115 | 337,621 | ||
| R | 148,045 | 168,912 | 323,041 | ||
| R | 113,926 | 145,918 | 278,236 | ||
| R | 122,108 | 141,454 | 267,542 | ||
| D | 140,142 | 136,316 | 281,235 | ||
| R | 111,554 | 152,408 | 266,549 | ||
| R | 91,513 | 128,582 | 226,555 | ||
| R | 85,349 | 101,479 | 204,491 | ||
| R | 79,318 | 94,642 | 220,927 | ||
| R | 69,357 | 116,574 | 187,177 | ||
| R | 57,537 | 128,381 | 187,030 | ||
| R | 63,290 | 110,800 | 192,863 | ||
| R | 63,722 | 109,663 | 176,443 | ||
| R | 55,782 | 106,017 | 165,544 | ||
| R | 49,670 | 83,326 | 148,878 | ||
| D | 77,651 | 60,878 | 138,857 | ||
| R | 47,281 | 91,841 | 139,711 | ||
| R | 37,403 | 90,176 | 128,104 | ||
| R | 36,936 | 82,428 | 120,362 | ||
| R | 31,451 | 54,187 | 87,996 | ||
| R | 32,639 | 59,824 | 93,186 | ||
| R | 36,264 | 59,906 | 96,736 | ||
| R | 39,425 | 43,365 | 86,734 | ||
| R | 36,027 | 41,706 | 80,128 | ||
| R | 13,807 | 54,273 | 68,541 | ||
| R | 8,616 | 43,313 | 58,236 | ||
| R | 11,604 | 36,942 | 50,789 | ||
| R | 17,036 | 19,147 | 38,028 | ||
| O | 9,355 | 8,380 | 33,502 | ||
| R | 10,907 | 20,500 | 33,508 | ||
| R | 7,897 | 22,144 | 32,065 | ||
| R | 13,724 | 20,224 | 35,091 | ||
| R | 15,994 | 19,860 | 36,757 | ||
| R | 11,719 | 15,656 | 30,599 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 48.6% | 48.3% | 5,577,187 |
| 2020 | D | 49.9% | 48.2% | 5,479,720 |
| 2018 | D | 52.3% | 45.8% | 4,237,271 |
| 2014 | D | 54.6% | 41.3% | 3,121,771 |
| 2012 | D | 58.8% | 38.0% | 4,652,918 |
| 2008 | D | 62.7% | 33.8% | 4,848,620 |
| 2006 | D | 56.9% | 41.3% | 3,780,142 |
| 2002 | D | 60.6% | 37.9% | 3,129,287 |
| 2000 | D | 49.5% | 47.9% | 4,167,685 |
| 1996 | D | 58.4% | 39.9% | 3,762,575 |
| 1994 | R | 42.7% | 51.9% | 3,043,385 |
| 1990 | D | 57.5% | 41.2% | 2,560,494 |
| 1988 | D | 60.4% | 38.5% | 3,505,985 |
| 1984 | D | 51.8% | 47.2% | 3,700,938 |
| 1982 | D | 57.7% | 40.9% | 2,994,334 |
| 1978 | D | 52.1% | 47.9% | 2,846,630 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5% | 46.8% | 3,490,412 |
Demographics
Michigan's 4th stretches across the rural western Lower Peninsula, where a 26-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a heavily exurban and agricultural electorate with little competitive history in recent cycles.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twelve points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 593,794, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,425 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 4, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.