akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Michigan

Michigan 3rd Congressional District delivered R+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A West Michigan seat that has trended toward competitive margins since redistricting.

18762024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
501,023
2024 ACS

Michigan 3rd Congressional District, Michigan: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
501,0232024 5-year
Median household income
$83,1652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.3%2024 5-year
Black
7.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+10 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+65 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
SCHOLTEN, HillaryCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: MEIJER, Peter (2021–2023), AMASH, Justin (2019–2021), AMASH, Justin (2019–2021), AMASH, Justin (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.2%
135,434144,488285,114
R
−2.7%
130,738138,005274,116
R
−10.7%
96,168121,325235,093
R
−12.9%
94,695123,238221,379
R
−3.5%
108,881116,908229,477
R
−22.7%
83,586133,399218,976
R
−24.4%
69,007115,034188,430
R
−17.4%
62,65691,798167,020
R
−16.5%
57,84387,340178,638
R
−32.1%
51,119100,029152,140
R
−39.3%
44,904103,542149,306
R
−24.6%
49,98087,003150,779
R
−36.2%
42,75692,265136,946
R
−26.7%
44,88478,651126,461
R
−19.5%
41,44463,660114,110
D
+10.3%
60,16348,912109,267
R
−24.8%
41,51469,035110,912
R
−31.5%
34,36266,177100,946
R
−25.6%
32,28654,82688,203
R
−10.0%
29,99436,81768,226
R
−11.7%
29,88637,88368,532
R
−6.0%
32,07036,17468,730
D
+9.2%
30,15624,89157,424
R
−3.2%
26,82928,65257,369
R
−54.8%
11,06738,31549,697
R
−64.7%
4,99130,55039,517
R
−48.4%
8,92927,18737,736
D
+3.4%
12,53811,67825,258
O
+7.0%
5,7894,30521,260
R
−24.3%
6,94711,79819,955
R
−51.4%
4,04413,72618,828
R
−17.1%
8,60412,28521,480
R
−13.5%
8,84811,68621,024
R
−4.8%
7,6938,55117,961
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D48.6%48.3%5,577,187
2020D49.9%48.2%5,479,720
2018D52.3%45.8%4,237,271
2014D54.6%41.3%3,121,771
2012D58.8%38.0%4,652,918
2008D62.7%33.8%4,848,620
2006D56.9%41.3%3,780,142
2002D60.6%37.9%3,129,287
2000D49.5%47.9%4,167,685
1996D58.4%39.9%3,762,575
1994R42.7%51.9%3,043,385
1990D57.5%41.2%2,560,494
1988D60.4%38.5%3,505,985
1984D51.8%47.2%3,700,938
1982D57.7%40.9%2,994,334
1978D52.1%47.9%2,846,630
1976D52.5%46.8%3,490,412

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.5%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.8%
Polish
5.9%
American
3.0%
Italian
3.0%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.3%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.1%
Mainline Protestant
12.1%
Other Christian
9.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Methodist
1.6%
Baptist
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Grand Rapids, Michigan's 3rd district combines a mid-size urban core with surrounding suburban and rural counties, producing a modest Republican lean that has narrowed compared to the district's historical double-digit margins.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ten points in 1964; the Republican margin reached sixty-five points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 501,023, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $83,165 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2603/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Michigan voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 285,114 votes cast, 135,434 went Democratic and 144,488 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Michigan as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Michigan voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Michigan?
Congressional District 3, Michigan has a population of 501,023 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Michigan?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Michigan is $83,165 — above the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.