HarrisDemocratic41.6%8,212TrumpRepublican56.5%11,152OtherAll other candidates2.0%388
R+14.9- Lead
- 2,940
- Total
- 19,752
- vs nation
- R+13.4
Akashicmetro area
Muscatine, IA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic45.3%9,372TrumpRepublican52.4%10,823OtherAll other candidates2.3%476
R+7.0- Lead
- 1,451
- Total
- 20,671
- vs nation
- R+11.5
ClintonDemocratic42.6%8,368TrumpRepublican48.8%9,584OtherAll other candidates8.5%1,671
R+6.2- Lead
- 1,216
- Total
- 19,623
- vs nation
- R+8.3
ObamaDemocratic57.0%11,323RomneyRepublican41.1%8,168OtherAll other candidates1.9%374
D+15.9- Lead
- 3,155
- Total
- 19,865
- vs nation
- D+12.0
ObamaDemocratic57.1%10,920McCainRepublican41.5%7,929OtherAll other candidates1.4%270
D+15.6- Lead
- 2,991
- Total
- 19,119
- vs nation
- D+8.4
KerryDemocratic51.0%9,542BushRepublican48.2%9,020OtherAll other candidates0.8%155
D+2.8- Lead
- 522
- Total
- 18,717
- vs nation
- D+5.2
GoreDemocratic50.1%8,058BushRepublican46.5%7,483OtherAll other candidates3.3%535
D+3.6- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 16,076
- vs nation
- D+3.1
ClintonDemocratic49.9%7,674DoleRepublican38.1%5,858OtherAll other candidates12.0%1,854
D+11.8- Lead
- 1,816
- Total
- 15,386
- vs nation
- D+3.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,5592024 5-year
- Population density
- 97 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 437 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,3962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Burlington, IA-IL · twin score 85.9
presidential history
Party record book
Muscatine, IA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.1%
8,020 votes · D+18.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.1%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
70.3%
8,115 votes · R+50.4
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 67.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
11,323votes
57.0% of the vote · D+15.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 10,920 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,152votes
56.5% of the vote · R+14.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,823 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+12.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.9 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +8.8 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+28.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.8 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +26.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+5.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+14.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.2 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 28,665 | 8,988 | 8,902 | 10,772 | 3 |
| 2010 | 29,208 | 8,845 | 8,960 | 11,398 | 5 |
| 2012 | 29,928 | 8,708 | 9,001 | 12,205 | 14 |
| 2014 | 29,252 | 8,417 | 8,799 | 11,992 | 44 |
| 2016 | 29,251 | 8,847 | 8,904 | 11,383 | 117 |
| 2018 | 28,639 | 8,507 | 8,381 | 11,569 | 182 |
| 2020 | 29,482 | 9,272 | 9,323 | 10,621 | 266 |
| 2022 | 29,034 | 8,613 | 9,304 | 10,830 | 287 |
| 2024 | 29,194 | 7,973 | 9,627 | 11,264 | 330 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−323 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,786 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −176 |
| 2012 | −75 |
| 2013 | −162 |
| 2014 | −249 |
| 2015 | −188 |
| 2016 | −318 |
| 2017 | −309 |
| 2018 | −233 |
| 2019 | −412 |
| 2021 | −423 |
| 2022 | −345 |
| 2023 | −289 |
| 2024 | −284 |
| 2025 | −323 |
Muscatine's economy anchors on manufacturing and agriculture along the Mississippi, producing a working-class electorate that has trended toward Republican candidates in recent cycles while retaining competitive down-ballot races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 50.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.9 points.
A population of 42,559, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,396 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burlington, IA-IL and Ottumwa, IA.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Burlington, IA-IL
85.9twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Ottumwa, IA
85.7twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory
Galesburg, IL
84.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Muscatine, IA, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/34700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Muscatine, IA, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Muscatine, IA, Iowa voted Republican by 14.9 points (R+14.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,752 votes cast, 8,212 went Democratic and 11,152 went Republican.
When did Muscatine, IA, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Muscatine, IA, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Muscatine, IA, Iowa?
Muscatine, IA, Iowa has a population of 42,559 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Muscatine, IA, Iowa?
Median household income in Muscatine, IA, Iowa is $69,396 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Muscatine, IA, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Muscatine, IA, Iowa from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.