HarrisDemocratic39.8%8,961TrumpRepublican58.5%13,163OtherAll other candidates1.7%394
R+18.7- Lead
- 4,202
- Total
- 22,518
- vs nation
- R+17.2
Akashicmetro area
Burlington, IA-IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic42.7%10,080TrumpRepublican55.0%12,986OtherAll other candidates2.3%546
R+12.3- Lead
- 2,906
- Total
- 23,612
- vs nation
- R+16.8
ClintonDemocratic41.1%9,367TrumpRepublican51.3%11,684OtherAll other candidates7.6%1,738
R+10.2- Lead
- 2,317
- Total
- 22,789
- vs nation
- R+12.3
ObamaDemocratic57.9%13,866RomneyRepublican40.4%9,677OtherAll other candidates1.7%410
D+17.5- Lead
- 4,189
- Total
- 23,953
- vs nation
- D+13.6
ObamaDemocratic60.2%14,677McCainRepublican38.0%9,262OtherAll other candidates1.8%445
D+22.2- Lead
- 5,415
- Total
- 24,384
- vs nation
- D+14.9
KerryDemocratic58.8%14,725BushRepublican40.3%10,078OtherAll other candidates0.9%224
D+18.6- Lead
- 4,647
- Total
- 25,027
- vs nation
- D+21.0
GoreDemocratic57.6%13,381BushRepublican39.1%9,093OtherAll other candidates3.3%757
D+18.5- Lead
- 4,288
- Total
- 23,231
- vs nation
- D+17.9
ClintonDemocratic57.3%12,714DoleRepublican31.6%7,011OtherAll other candidates11.1%2,468
D+25.7- Lead
- 5,703
- Total
- 22,193
- vs nation
- D+17.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,6802024 5-year
- Population density
- 56 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 795 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,8312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fort Madison, IA · twin score 95.7
presidential history
Party record book
Burlington, IA-IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.6%
16,165 votes · D+35.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
66.5%
11,034 votes · R+41.3
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 65.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
16,165votes
67.6% of the vote · D+35.5
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 14,725 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
15,021votes
59.5% of the vote · R+19.3
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 14,252 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+26.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.5 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +23.4 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+34.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.9 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +23.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2014D+19.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+18.7
Burlington, IA-IL registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 38-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 (partial) | 29,105 | 14,090 | 6,189 | 8,813 | 13 |
| 2010 (partial) | 29,212 | 13,226 | 6,657 | 9,311 | 18 |
| 2012 (partial) | 29,401 | 12,904 | 6,809 | 9,659 | 29 |
| 2014 (partial) | 28,313 | 12,003 | 6,492 | 9,766 | 52 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,519 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −300 |
| 2012 | +8 |
| 2013 | +83 |
| 2014 | −290 |
| 2015 | −234 |
| 2016 | −387 |
| 2017 | −332 |
| 2018 | −303 |
| 2019 | −191 |
| 2021 | −220 |
| 2022 | −286 |
| 2023 | +37 |
| 2024 | −110 |
| 2025 | +6 |
The Burlington metro straddles the Iowa-Illinois state line, and its two sides have historically split their presidential-level votes by several points, making cross-river comparison a useful stress test for regional partisan models.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 44,680, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,831 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fort Madison, IA and Galesburg, IL.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Fort Madison, IA
95.7twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory
Galesburg, IL
92.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Clinton, IA
90.7twin score
12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Burlington, IA-IL
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Frequently asked questions
How did Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+18.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,518 votes cast, 8,961 went Democratic and 13,163 went Republican.
When did Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois?
Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois has a population of 44,680 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois?
Median household income in Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois is $62,831 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Burlington, IA-IL, Illinois from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.