akashic
1876–2024
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL·Iowa

Davenport-Moline, IA-IL moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

20082024·5 elections
IA
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
TrumpR+5.7
2024 presidential margin by county for Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, IAA map of the constituent counties of Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, IA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Mercer County, IL · R+27.1Rock Island County, IL · D+9.6Henry County, IL · R+24.4Clinton County, IA · R+18.8Scott County, IA · R+3.9Muscatine County, IA · R+14.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican51.9%119,727
Kamala HarrisDemocratic46.2%106,465
OtherAll other candidates1.9%4,467
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −5.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−5.7%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892+4.5%
1896−19.6%
1900−19.4%
1904−31.5%
1908−16.5%
1912+17.3%
1916−21.8%
1920−50.4%
1924−47.1%
1928−27.8%
1932+5.9%
1936+14.6%
1940+0.3%
1944−3.6%
1948−4.1%
1952−21.7%
1956−17.2%
1960−7.9%
1964+21.9%
1968−3.9%
1972−15.2%
1976−4.2%
1980−12.6%
1984−4.9%
1988+9.6%
1992+11.8%
1996+15.7%
2000+10.3%
2004+6.4%
2008+17.7%
2012+15.8%
2016−1.2%
2020−0.1%
2024−5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.7%
106,465119,727230,659
R
−0.1%
116,878117,188239,519
R
−1.2%
103,143105,799227,418
D
+15.8%
133,11296,244233,318
D
+17.7%
135,14394,078232,243
D
+6.4%
121,746106,924230,310
D
+10.3%
110,46989,291205,707
D
+15.7%
102,15071,940192,932
D
+11.8%
105,01678,861221,436
D
+9.6%
109,99590,625202,017
R
−4.9%
104,645115,549221,645
R
−12.6%
83,069109,993213,419
R
−4.2%
97,990106,791208,147
R
−15.2%
82,996113,135198,516
R
−3.9%
84,94192,429191,538
D
+21.9%
112,06771,832184,040
R
−7.9%
87,307102,382189,904
R
−17.2%
73,544104,252178,207
R
−21.7%
70,670110,102181,508
R
−4.1%
66,80972,526141,003
R
−3.6%
74,30079,838154,669
D
+0.3%
86,62386,160173,482
D
+14.6%
88,58165,507157,505
D
+5.9%
75,00466,480144,835
R
−27.8%
48,14885,484134,363
R
−47.1%
17,39575,790124,071
R
−50.4%
20,23175,912110,523
R
−21.8%
31,37350,71788,612
O
+17.3%
19,7629,45959,422
R
−16.5%
22,71932,66060,224
R
−31.5%
16,49234,80358,149
R
−19.4%
22,64134,07158,878
R
−19.6%
21,47732,25054,929
D
+4.5%
23,49721,40546,900
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorDavenport-Moline, IA-ILCombined statistical areaUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White79.4%61.0%
Black6.8%12.2%
Asian2.1%6.0%
Two or more races8.3%12.6%
Other race3.5%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino9.9%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$72,194$84,427
Poverty rate12.7%12.5%
Median age40.639.1
Age 18–248.3%9.2%
Age 65 and older19.2%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home8.9%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryGerman 25.8%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryIrish 13.0%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 9.8%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic13.3%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant9.0%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed62.3%51.5%
Mainline Protestant11.1%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.8%
Irish
13.0%
English
9.8%
American
4.1%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.6%
Polish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.1%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
13.3%
Mainline Protestant
11.1%
Evangelical Protestant
9.0%
Black Protestant
1.6%
Latter-day Saints
0.9%
Other Christian
0.7%
Muslim
0.6%
Hindu
0.2%
Other faiths
0.1%
Jewish
0.1%
Orthodox Christian
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted62.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Davenport-Moline, IA-IL sits in the Corn Belt. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.

A population of 470,330, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,194 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/209/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+5.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 230,659 votes cast, 106,465 went Democratic and 119,727 went Republican.
What is Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa's political typology?
Akashic places Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa has a population of 470,330 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Median household income in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa is $72,194 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.