HarrisDemocratic27.4%54,047TrumpRepublican71.6%141,120OtherAll other candidates1.0%2,006
R+44.2- Lead
- 87,073
- Total
- 197,173
- vs nation
- R+42.7
Akashicmetro area
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic27.8%53,197TrumpRepublican71.0%135,614OtherAll other candidates1.2%2,281
R+43.1- Lead
- 82,417
- Total
- 191,092
- vs nation
- R+47.6
ClintonDemocratic26.9%44,659TrumpRepublican69.4%115,076OtherAll other candidates3.7%6,127
R+42.5- Lead
- 70,417
- Total
- 165,862
- vs nation
- R+44.5
ObamaDemocratic33.7%53,279RomneyRepublican64.7%102,287OtherAll other candidates1.6%2,507
R+31.0- Lead
- 49,008
- Total
- 158,073
- vs nation
- R+34.9
ObamaDemocratic36.3%57,805McCainRepublican62.4%99,411OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,087
R+26.1- Lead
- 41,606
- Total
- 159,303
- vs nation
- R+33.4
KerryDemocratic33.1%45,203BushRepublican66.5%90,638OtherAll other candidates0.4%557
R+33.3- Lead
- 45,435
- Total
- 136,398
- vs nation
- R+30.9
GoreDemocratic33.8%40,924BushRepublican65.5%79,289OtherAll other candidates0.7%893
R+31.7- Lead
- 38,365
- Total
- 121,106
- vs nation
- R+32.2
ClintonDemocratic35.9%39,284DoleRepublican55.0%60,152OtherAll other candidates9.0%9,870
R+19.1- Lead
- 20,868
- Total
- 109,306
- vs nation
- R+27.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 368,3162024 5-year
- Population density
- 225 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,640 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,9042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA · twin score 91.2
presidential history
Party record book
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
63.6%
27,548 votes · D+27.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 62.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.7%
57,394 votes · R+45.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 71.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
57,805votes
36.3% of the vote · R+26.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 54,047 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
141,120votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 135,614 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+31.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.5 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +29.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +44.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+26.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+44.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 230,454 | 80,547 | 98,376 | 51,372 | 159 |
| 2012 | 242,327 | 77,827 | 100,957 | 62,916 | 627 |
| 2016 | 243,228 | 68,554 | 101,159 | 72,462 | 1,053 |
| 2020 | 247,181 | 55,126 | 108,853 | 81,534 | 1,668 |
| 2022 | 249,060 | 49,423 | 109,620 | 88,488 | 1,529 |
| 2024 | 261,091 | 46,430 | 116,673 | 95,633 | 2,355 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,447 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +20,229 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,187 |
| 2012 | −1,181 |
| 2013 | −327 |
| 2014 | −518 |
| 2015 | +250 |
| 2016 | +1,348 |
| 2017 | +2,093 |
| 2018 | +1,486 |
| 2019 | +1,347 |
| 2021 | +2,323 |
| 2022 | +3,318 |
| 2023 | +3,362 |
| 2024 | +3,468 |
| 2025 | +4,447 |
Anchored by Catawba County's long Republican lean, this Piedmont foothills metro blends legacy furniture and fiber industries with a growing Latino workforce — a demographic shift that has slowly narrowed margins in local races without flipping the region's overall orientation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 45.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.2 points.
A population of 368,316, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,904 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA and North Wilkesboro, NC.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
91.2twin score
2004–2020 trajectory% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry
North Wilkesboro, NC
90.6twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ population scale
Morristown, TN
87.4twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Places within Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Frequently asked questions
How did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 44.2 points (R+44.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 197,173 votes cast, 54,047 went Democratic and 141,120 went Republican.
When did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina has a population of 368,316 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina is $62,904 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.