Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
presidential margin
2008R+26.12012R+31.02016R+42.52020R+43.12024R+44.2
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+44.2
2024
median income$62,904U.S. $80,734 · NC $72,388
median age43.7U.S. 39.1 · NC 39.5
poverty rate13.5%U.S. 12.5% · NC 13.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.4%U.S. 35.6% · NC 35.8%
non-english9.7%U.S. 22.3% · NC 13.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American15.1%
German13.7%
English13.4%
Mexican4.3%
Puerto Rican1.1%
Guatemalan1.0%
African American†5.8%
African0.3%
Hmong1.9%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline12.3%
Black Protestant2.1%
Other Christian1.2%
Latter-day Saints0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina

Akashic
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NCTrumpR+44.2
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, NCA map of the constituent counties of Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Alexander County, NC · R+59.7Burke County, NC · R+41.1Caldwell County, NC · R+52.5Catawba County, NC · R+37.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.6%141,120
Kamala HarrisDemocratic27.4%54,047
Jill SteinGreen1.0%2,006
D+60
R+60
4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (4 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, NC — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Alexander County, NCRepublicanR+59.7
Burke County, NCRepublicanR+41.1
Caldwell County, NCRepublicanR+52.5
Catawba County, NCRepublicanR+37.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
27.4%Harris54,047
71.6%Trump141,120
1.0%Stein2,006
−44.2%
197,173
R
27.8%Biden53,197
71.0%Trump135,614
1.2%Jorgensen2,281
−43.1%
191,092
R
26.9%Clinton44,659
69.4%Trump115,076
3.7%Johnson6,127
−42.5%
165,862
R
33.7%Obama53,279
64.7%Romney102,287
1.6%Johnson2,507
−31.0%
158,073
R
36.3%Obama57,805
62.4%McCain99,411
1.3%Barr2,087
−26.1%
159,303
R
33.1%Kerry45,203
66.5%Bush90,638
0.4%Badnarik557
−33.3%
136,398
R
33.8%Gore40,924
65.5%Bush79,289
0.7%Browne893
−31.7%
121,106
R
35.9%Clinton39,284
55.0%Dole60,152
9.0%Perot9,870
−19.1%
109,306
R
36.0%Clinton42,781
49.0%Bush58,170
15.0%Perot17,782
−13.0%
118,733
R
34.4%Dukakis35,780
65.4%Bush67,949
0.1%Fulani153
−31.0%
103,882
R
30.2%Mondale32,945
69.6%Reagan75,768
0.2%Bergland216
−39.3%
108,929
R
40.2%Carter38,837
57.0%Reagan55,170
2.8%Anderson2,707
−16.9%
96,714
D
52.5%Carter48,297
47.1%Ford43,299
0.4%Anderson384
+5.4%
91,980
R
26.6%McGovern21,295
71.7%Nixon57,394
1.6%Schmitz1,313
−45.1%
80,002
R
22.9%Humphrey19,258
52.7%Nixon44,273
24.4%Wallace20,475
−29.8%
84,006
D
52.1%Johnson43,197
47.9%Goldwater39,690
0.0%
+4.2%
82,887
R
43.1%Kennedy36,184
56.9%Nixon47,788
0.0%
−13.8%
83,972
R
38.8%Stevenson28,994
61.2%Eisenhower45,669
0.0%
−22.3%
74,663
R
42.0%Stevenson29,484
58.0%Eisenhower40,684
0.0%
−16.0%
70,168
R
45.2%Truman22,160
47.2%Dewey23,146
7.6%Thurmond3,727
−2.0%
49,033
D
54.7%Roosevelt24,642
45.3%Dewey20,402
0.0%
+9.4%
45,044
D
63.6%Roosevelt27,548
36.4%Willkie15,767
0.0%
+27.2%
43,315
D
61.6%Roosevelt28,542
38.4%Landon17,765
0.0%
+23.3%
46,307
D
57.9%Roosevelt22,744
41.6%Hoover16,342
0.5%Thomas198
+16.3%
39,284
R
37.7%Smith11,810
62.3%Hoover19,476
0.0%
−24.5%
31,286
D
52.0%Davis15,530
47.3%Coolidge14,128
0.7%La Follette213
+4.7%
29,871
R
46.9%Cox13,642
53.1%Harding15,468
0.0%
−6.3%
29,110
R
49.7%Wilson6,869
50.2%Hughes6,944
0.1%Benson14
−0.5%
13,827
D
49.4%Wilson5,954
10.4%Taft1,256
40.2%Roosevelt4,838
+39.0%
12,048
R
46.4%Bryan5,380
53.3%Taft6,187
0.3%Debs37
−7.0%
11,604
R
47.5%Parker4,516
49.1%Roosevelt4,666
3.3%Debs318
−1.6%
9,500
R
48.8%Bryan4,886
48.8%McKinley4,887
2.3%Woolley234
−0.0%
10,007
D
62.1%Bryan6,746
36.6%McKinley3,976
1.2%Palmer135
+25.5%
10,857
D
50.4%Cleveland4,884
29.3%Harrison2,837
20.3%Weaver1,963
+21.1%
9,684
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −44.2% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−44.2%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+21.1%
1896+25.5%
1900−0.0%
1904−1.6%
1908−7.0%
1912+39.0%
1916−0.5%
1920−6.3%
1924+4.7%
1928−24.5%
1932+16.3%
1936+23.3%
1940+27.2%
1944+9.4%
1948−2.0%
1952−16.0%
1956−22.3%
1960−13.8%
1964+4.2%
1968−29.8%
1972−45.1%
1976+5.4%
1980−16.9%
1984−39.3%
1988−31.0%
1992−13.0%
1996−19.1%
2000−31.7%
2004−33.3%
2008−26.1%
2012−31.0%
2016−42.5%
2020−43.1%
2024−44.2%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NCRegistered voters by party of registration, 2008–2024. Latest total 261,091 in 2024.65.3K130.5K195.8K261.1K261.1K20082024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2008230,45480,54798,37651,372159
2012242,32777,827100,95762,916627
2016243,22868,554101,15972,4621,053
2020247,18155,126108,85381,5341,668
2022249,06049,423109,62088,4881,529
2024261,09146,430116,67395,6332,355
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

Anchored by Catawba County's long Republican lean, this Piedmont foothills metro blends legacy furniture and fiber industries with a growing Latino workforce — a demographic shift that has slowly narrowed margins in local races without flipping the region's overall orientation.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 45.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.2 points.

A population of 368,316, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,904 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA and North Wilkesboro, NC.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
91.2twin score
2004–2020 trajectory% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry
North Wilkesboro, NC
90.6twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ population scale
Morristown, TN
87.4twin score
2004–2020 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC

counties4
Alexander CountyBurke CountyCaldwell CountyCatawba County

Frequently asked questions

How did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 44.2 points (R+44.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 197,173 votes cast, 54,047 went Democratic and 141,120 went Republican.
When did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina has a population of 368,316 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina is $62,904 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.