- Lead
- 17,616
- Total
- 58,410
- vs nation
- R+28.7
Hermitage, PA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 15,076
- Total
- 57,954
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Lead
- 12,811
- Total
- 52,839
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Lead
- 1,693
- Total
- 51,039
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 154
- Total
- 53,821
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Lead
- 1,480
- Total
- 51,564
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Lead
- 685
- Total
- 48,732
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Lead
- 5,790
- Total
- 45,779
- vs nation
- D+4.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 109,2572024 5-year
- Population density
- 162 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 673 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,9762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH · twin score 93.5
presidential history
Party record book
Hermitage, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.7%
32,199 votes · D+27.8
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 52.9%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
72.7%
22,599 votes · R+46.3
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 65.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
32,199votes
63.7% of the vote · D+27.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 26,411 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
37,761votes
64.6% of the vote · R+30.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 36,143 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+19.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.9 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +14.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+30.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +29.6 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.1 points more Republican than the rolls.
71,800 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+85 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,371 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −208 |
| 2012 | −282 |
| 2013 | −213 |
| 2014 | −251 |
| 2015 | −778 |
| 2016 | −841 |
| 2017 | −833 |
| 2018 | −660 |
| 2019 | −691 |
| 2021 | +118 |
| 2022 | +36 |
| 2023 | −9 |
| 2024 | +156 |
| 2025 | +85 |
Hermitage sits in Mercer County along the Ohio border, part of a post-industrial corridor where union heritage and economic displacement have made it a persistent bellwether for working-class voter realignment in western Pennsylvania.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 109,257, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,976 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH and Wheeling, WV-OH.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25850/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.