- Lead
- 29,984
- Total
- 76,813
- vs nation
- D+40.5
New York 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 55,781
- Total
- 88,820
- vs nation
- D+58.3
- Lead
- 62,011
- Total
- 83,464
- vs nation
- D+72.2
- Lead
- 61,075
- Total
- 76,785
- vs nation
- D+75.7
- Lead
- 57,919
- Total
- 79,481
- vs nation
- D+65.6
- Lead
- 43,084
- Total
- 72,587
- vs nation
- D+61.8
- Lead
- 44,679
- Total
- 64,642
- vs nation
- D+68.6
- Lead
- 42,585
- Total
- 60,961
- vs nation
- D+61.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+39.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 319,0162024 5-year
- Population density
- 33,581 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,7792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 16.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 57.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 34, NY · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
New York 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2020 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
89.5%
68,694 votes · D+79.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 86.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
58.8%
26,961 votes · R+38.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 50.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81,624votes
70.2% of the vote · D+40.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 78,958 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
65,408votes
48.4% of the vote · D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 61,500 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+75.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +72.2 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+12.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.6 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +7.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 77.9%56,180 | 22.1%15,973 | 72,153 |
New York 33rd State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.5 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 38.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 23.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.0 points.
A population of 319,016, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,779 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 34 and State Senate District 32.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.