- Lead
- 49,646
- Total
- 88,231
- vs nation
- D+57.7
New York 29th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 74,540
- Total
- 99,903
- vs nation
- D+70.2
- Lead
- 81,187
- Total
- 95,588
- vs nation
- D+82.8
- Lead
- 73,317
- Total
- 87,934
- vs nation
- D+79.5
- Lead
- 76,895
- Total
- 92,915
- vs nation
- D+75.5
- Lead
- 64,379
- Total
- 84,445
- vs nation
- D+78.7
- Lead
- 59,855
- Total
- 76,429
- vs nation
- D+77.8
- Lead
- 54,671
- Total
- 69,146
- vs nation
- D+70.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+56.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 318,4542024 5-year
- Population density
- 42,461 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $43,2392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 54.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 29, NJ · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
New York 29th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
91.3%
80,284 votes · D+83.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 91.3%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
50.1%
22,290 votes · R+16.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 47.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
89,354votes
85.1% of the vote · D+70.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 87,236 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
33,395votes
31.4% of the vote · D+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 32,415 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+82.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+84.9 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +79.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−5.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+0.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · −10.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Democratic presidential margin was D+56.3 in 2024 and D+82.8 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with Hispanic or Latino residents at 42.8%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.9 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 16.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 18.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.3 points.
A population of 318,454, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,239 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 29 and State Senate District 32.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 29th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.