akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 16·Missouri

Missouri 16th State Senate District peaked at D+31; 2024 delivered R+58.

Missouri's closest presidential split lands here, at D+0.1

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+58
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
177,414
2024 ACS

Missouri 16th State Senate District, Missouri: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+58%. Republican peak: R+58 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+58MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
177,4142024 5-year
Median household income
$57,9502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.3%2024 5-year
Black
4.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+31 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−58.2%
14,73657,23672,990
R
−55.5%
15,19454,89771,527
R
−55.9%
13,18251,32968,218
R
−40.4%
18,92545,79466,450
R
−30.2%
24,07145,42070,684
R
−37.5%
20,04444,35064,858
R
−28.3%
19,88636,13057,400
R
−8.7%
20,28724,82052,039
D
+0.8%
22,37721,91556,520
R
−19.3%
18,95828,08347,187
R
−30.8%
16,50731,18947,696
R
−16.6%
19,06026,91647,350
D
+4.9%
22,51820,39843,136
R
−39.3%
11,95227,44639,398
R
−16.8%
13,80320,37339,099
D
+15.9%
21,88915,89437,783
R
−18.5%
17,08824,83741,926
R
−6.9%
18,10620,79238,898
R
−12.6%
17,23622,22339,513
D
+11.3%
18,70514,90733,696
R
−4.6%
16,95218,58135,597
R
−3.5%
18,75920,12238,960
D
+6.7%
20,11117,57937,858
D
+30.9%
21,98911,55533,791
R
−16.4%
12,51217,45130,065
D
+5.4%
14,02212,51027,935
R
−11.0%
12,23715,32227,935
D
+4.5%
9,3498,51918,268
D
+16.6%
8,1985,46016,510
D
+2.6%
9,0108,55117,872
R
−0.9%
7,6597,80615,945
D
+12.3%
8,8626,89816,017
D
+18.7%
10,0006,83516,907
D
+7.0%
6,7285,74014,057
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.5%
English
13.6%
Irish
10.9%
American
8.1%
French
2.3%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.6%
4.5%
65–74
4.8%
5.9%
55–64
5.9%
5.1%
45–54
5.3%
6.0%
35–44
5.7%
7.1%
25–34
6.0%
9.4%
18–24
5.0%
8.4%
5–17
8.1%
3.2%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,950
State Senate District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 16$57,950
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.2%
Working age (18–64)14.5%
Seniors (65+)16.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.4%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.9%
Other Christian
12.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Methodist
2.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of less than a fifth of a percentage point, this district sits at the precise center of Missouri's partisan divide, making it one of the most closely contested state senate territories in the state.

The Democratic margin in Missouri 16th State Senate District peaked at thirty-one points in 1932. By 1996 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,950 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/29016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Missouri voted Republican by 58.2 points (R+58), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 72,990 votes cast, 14,736 went Democratic and 57,236 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Missouri as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Missouri?
State Senate District 16, Missouri has a population of 177,414 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Missouri?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Missouri is $57,950 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.