- Lead
- 42,743
- Total
- 56,711
- vs nation
- D+76.8
Missouri 5th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 54,712
- Total
- 69,364
- vs nation
- D+74.4
- Lead
- 56,917
- Total
- 72,035
- vs nation
- D+76.9
- Lead
- 65,268
- Total
- 79,035
- vs nation
- D+78.7
- Lead
- 73,314
- Total
- 87,878
- vs nation
- D+76.2
- Lead
- 62,252
- Total
- 78,243
- vs nation
- D+82.0
- Lead
- 51,328
- Total
- 66,697
- vs nation
- D+76.4
- Lead
- 48,844
- Total
- 64,840
- vs nation
- D+66.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+75.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,7302024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,430 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 40.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $47,4022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 29, TN · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 5th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
91.4%
80,357 votes · D+83.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 90.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
40.9%
47,993 votes · D+13.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 38.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
157,293votes
79.4% of the vote · D+60.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 142,650 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
49,075votes
25.8% of the vote · D+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 47,993 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+82.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.6 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +78.7 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−15.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+34.8 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · −25.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 83.8%54,508 | 16.2%10,559 | 65,067 |
Missouri 5th State Senate District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.4 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 75.4 points.
A population of 180,730, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,402 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 29 and State Senate District 19.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 5th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/29005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.