- Lead
- 25,952
- Total
- 151,433
- vs nation
- D+18.6
Michigan 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,906
- Total
- 148,780
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Lead
- 16,162
- Total
- 130,427
- vs nation
- D+10.3
- Lead
- 17,345
- Total
- 127,794
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Lead
- 26,900
- Total
- 135,479
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Lead
- 5,115
- Total
- 124,042
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Lead
- 1,358
- Total
- 104,352
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Lead
- 6,062
- Total
- 96,803
- vs nation
- R+2.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 271,3902024 5-year
- Population density
- 517 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 525 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,7482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.6 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 52, NY · twin score 86.2
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.2%
42,546 votes · D+20.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
78.7%
24,693 votes · R+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
87,380votes
57.7% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 86,333 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
61,428votes
40.6% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 59,779 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+18.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +13.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +40.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.4%80,194 | 44.6%64,492 | 144,686 |
| 2020 | D | 51.6%72,713 | 48.4%68,081 | 140,794 |
Michigan 19th State Senate District sits in the Great Lakes. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.1 points.
A population of 271,390, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,748 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 52 and State Senate District 28.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/26019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.