- Lead
- 17,055
- Total
- 23,849
- vs nation
- D+73.0
Wisconsin 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,149
- Total
- 22,780
- vs nation
- D+75.2
- Lead
- 18,885
- Total
- 24,214
- vs nation
- D+75.9
- Lead
- 21,633
- Total
- 26,870
- vs nation
- D+76.7
- Lead
- 20,797
- Total
- 25,928
- vs nation
- D+72.9
- Lead
- 18,744
- Total
- 24,735
- vs nation
- D+78.2
- Lead
- 15,666
- Total
- 21,790
- vs nation
- D+71.4
- Lead
- 13,722
- Total
- 19,239
- vs nation
- D+62.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+71.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,7142024 5-year
- Population density
- 8,410 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $38,6372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 10, PA · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
90.4%
16,100 votes · D+85.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 89.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
26.2%
1,319 votes · D+10.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 22.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
24,156votes
89.9% of the vote · D+80.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 23,256 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
3,859votes
22.9% of the vote · D+53.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 3,710 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+88.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.0 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +87.5 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
−30.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+5.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −32.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 16 recorded a D+71.5 presidential margin in 2024, making it an extreme outlier in a state defined by razor-thin statewide results. Its concentration of Democratic votes reflects dense urban geography rather than any shift in the broader Wisconsin electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.8 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.5 points.
A population of 59,714, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,637 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 10 and State House District 27.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wisconsin 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.