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Akashic

state house district

Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English23.8%19.1%9.5%

Irish14.9%16.8%9.4%

German10.3%10.7%12.5%

American7.7%7.0%5.3%

French7.5%8.6%1.6%

Italian6.9%7.4%4.8%

Scottish5.3%3.0%1.3%

Polish2.9%—2.2%

Mexican0.4%0.6%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Median age	43	43.4	39.1
Age 18–24	6.9%	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	24.8%	21.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Median household income	$94,805	$81,203	$84,427
Poverty rate	13.4%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.9%	44.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Owner-occupied homes	69.6%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	30.4%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$286,500	$316,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,093	$1,234	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	39.4%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	21.9%	19.4%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Mean commute	23.2 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	1.0%	5.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	66.3%	68.5%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.6%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	20.1%	16.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.4%	5.5%	22.3%
Spanish	1.1%	1.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Catholic	—	20.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	7.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	62.4%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	VT HD 1	Vermont	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.0%	4.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.2%	2.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.8%	1.5%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	5.7%	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.500	0.453	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic60.5%1,490TrumpRepublican33.7%829OtherAll other candidates5.8%144

D+26.8

Lead: 661
Total: 2,463
vs nation: D+28.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic61.5%1,444TrumpRepublican34.3%806OtherAll other candidates4.2%99

D+27.2

Lead: 638
Total: 2,349
vs nation: D+22.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic51.9%1,047TrumpRepublican32.1%648OtherAll other candidates16.0%324

D+19.8

Lead: 399
Total: 2,019
vs nation: D+17.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic64.7%1,259RomneyRepublican32.9%641OtherAll other candidates2.4%47

D+31.7

Lead: 618
Total: 1,947
vs nation: D+27.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic65.2%1,383McCainRepublican32.7%693OtherAll other candidates2.2%46

D+32.5

Lead: 690
Total: 2,122
vs nation: D+25.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic56.5%1,240BushRepublican41.1%902OtherAll other candidates2.5%54

D+15.4

Lead: 338
Total: 2,196
vs nation: D+17.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic47.1%1,015BushRepublican43.2%932OtherAll other candidates9.7%208

D+3.9

Lead: 83
Total: 2,155
vs nation: D+3.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic49.9%936DoleRepublican32.2%604OtherAll other candidates17.8%334

D+17.7

Lead: 332
Total: 1,874
vs nation: D+9.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+26.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 4,0872024 5-year
Population density: 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 85 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $94,8052024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 91.4%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+32.5 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+75.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Windsor-Orange-2 State House District, VT · twin score 98.7

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

65.2%

1,383 votes · D+32.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 64.7%

Republican

Calvin Coolidge1924

84.8%

750 votes · R+75.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 84.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

1,490votes

60.5% of the vote · D+26.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,444 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

1,048votes

60.4% of the vote · R+23.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,017 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+28.3pts D vs U.S.

Place D+26.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +27.9 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+66.9pts R vs U.S.

Place R+73.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +63.6 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJohn O'BrienState House · Windsor-Orange-1

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	66.2%1,405	33.8%717	2,122
2020	D	71.5%1,571	28.5%627	2,198
2018	D	72.9%1,204	27.1%448	1,652

With roughly 4,000 residents spread across Windsor County, this small Vermont house district recorded a 26.8-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the college-educated, rural-professional profile common to the Upper Connecticut River valley.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1924. The 2024 margin was 26.8 points.

A population of 4,087, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,805 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-Orange-2 State House District and Orange-3 State House District.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Windsor-Orange-2 State House District

% unaffiliated2008–2024 trajectory

Orange-3 State House District

population scale% unaffiliated2008–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Windsor-2 State House District

population scale2008–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50YO1/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District voted Democratic by 26.8 points (D+26.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,463 votes cast, 1,490 went Democratic and 829 went Republican.

When did Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District?

Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District has a population of 4,087 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District?

Median household income in Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District is $94,805 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Windsor-Orange-1 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.