- Lead
- 3,875
- Total
- 6,226
- vs nation
- D+63.7
Vermont Windsor-Orange-2 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,989
- Total
- 6,174
- vs nation
- D+60.2
- Lead
- 3,218
- Total
- 5,414
- vs nation
- D+57.3
- Lead
- 3,608
- Total
- 5,423
- vs nation
- D+62.7
- Lead
- 3,936
- Total
- 5,934
- vs nation
- D+59.1
- Lead
- 2,725
- Total
- 5,374
- vs nation
- D+53.2
- Lead
- 1,943
- Total
- 4,904
- vs nation
- D+39.1
- Lead
- 2,157
- Total
- 4,384
- vs nation
- D+40.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+62.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,9842024 5-year
- Population density
- 52 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 172 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $103,8592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windsor-Orange-1 State House District, VT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windsor-Orange-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
82.5%
4,476 votes · D+66.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 82.3%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
73.4%
1,033 votes · R+52.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 69.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
5,005votes
81.1% of the vote · D+64.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 4,940 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,449votes
40.3% of the vote · D+17.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,380 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+63.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +62.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+39.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +26.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
This small Windsor County district recorded a 62.2-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most heavily one-sided state house districts in Vermont and reflecting the rural college-town character common to the upper Connecticut River valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.5 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 52.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.2 points.
A population of 8,984, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $103,859 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-Orange-1 State House District and Orange-Washington-Addison State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Windsor-Orange-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50YO2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.