- Lead
- 269
- Total
- 2,787
- vs nation
- D+11.1
Vermont Windsor-2 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 453
- Total
- 2,727
- vs nation
- D+12.2
- Lead
- 132
- Total
- 2,389
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Lead
- 379
- Total
- 2,215
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 459
- Total
- 2,395
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Lead
- 176
- Total
- 2,422
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Lead
- 73
- Total
- 2,369
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 2,107
- vs nation
- D+0.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4632024 5-year
- Population density
- 51 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 87.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,8482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+88.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windsor-4 State House District, VT · twin score 99.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windsor-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.0%
827 votes · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
93.9%
558 votes · R+88.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 93.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,547votes
56.7% of the vote · D+16.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,481 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
1,314votes
83.9% of the vote · R+67.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,313 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+13.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.1 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +12.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+82.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+88.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +70.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Windsor-2 covers a small slice of Vermont's Upper Connecticut River valley, where a 9.7-point Democratic presidential margin reflects the state's broader leftward lean without the lopsided gaps seen in Burlington-area seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 88.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 4,463, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,848 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-4 State House District and Windsor-Addison State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Windsor-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50Y-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.