- Lead
- 1,827
- Total
- 4,886
- vs nation
- D+38.9
Vermont Windsor-1 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,027
- Total
- 4,929
- vs nation
- D+36.7
- Lead
- 1,398
- Total
- 4,326
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Lead
- 1,593
- Total
- 3,928
- vs nation
- D+36.7
- Lead
- 1,828
- Total
- 4,265
- vs nation
- D+35.6
- Lead
- 1,020
- Total
- 3,974
- vs nation
- D+28.1
- Lead
- 546
- Total
- 3,791
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Lead
- 858
- Total
- 3,438
- vs nation
- D+16.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+37.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,3492024 5-year
- Population density
- 93 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 89.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,3172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.9 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windsor-Addison State House District, VT · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windsor-1 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
70.3%
2,999 votes · D+42.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 69.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
87.6%
753 votes · R+77.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 87.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,395votes
68.9% of the vote · D+41.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,271 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
1,759votes
77.5% of the vote · R+55.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,731 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+38.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +36.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+71.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +58.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Windsor-1 posts a presidential margin exceeding 37 points Democratic, reflecting the heavily Democratic character of this small Upper Connecticut River Valley district, where rural New England tradition blends with a college-educated, Democratic-leaning electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.9 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 78.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.4 points.
A population of 8,349, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,317 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-Addison State House District and Windsor-Windham State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Windsor-1 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50Y-1/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.