- Lead
- 621
- Total
- 4,555
- vs nation
- D+15.1
Vermont Windsor-3 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 815
- Total
- 4,516
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Lead
- 363
- Total
- 3,953
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Lead
- 969
- Total
- 3,943
- vs nation
- D+20.7
- Lead
- 1,129
- Total
- 4,239
- vs nation
- D+19.4
- Lead
- 742
- Total
- 4,466
- vs nation
- D+19.1
- Lead
- 222
- Total
- 4,185
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Lead
- 676
- Total
- 3,610
- vs nation
- D+10.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,0622024 5-year
- Population density
- 184 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 49.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,5712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windsor-6 State House District, VT · twin score 99.4
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Windsor-3 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.1%
1,671 votes · D+28.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.2%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
91.4%
1,611 votes · R+83.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 90.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,636votes
62.2% of the vote · D+26.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,583 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
2,245votes
81.0% of the vote · R+62.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,238 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+20.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +19.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+76.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+82.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +63.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Windsor-3 covers a slice of Vermont's Connecticut River corridor, where a mix of small-town professionals and longtime rural residents has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 83.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.6 points.
A population of 9,062, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,571 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windsor-6 State House District and Windsor-2 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Windsor-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50Y-3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.